Canterbury vs Northland
Stadium Australia
Value found
+396.7% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Canterbury | 12 | 0 | 12 |
 Northland | 21 | 15 | 36 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 35-17
The data suggests that Canterbury is in strong form, having won all of their last five home matches with a high scoring average of 36.2 points. Meanwhile, Northland's performance in away games has been mixed, including a draw against Canterbury earlier in the season. Historically, Canterbury has been dominant in their matchups against Northland, which further supports a favorable outlook for the home side.
- Canterbury has won their last 5 home games
- Canterbury's last 10 matches show an average of 36.2 points scored
- Northland's recent away form includes a draw against Canterbury
- Canterbury has historically dominated recent encounters against Northland
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Canterbury
- Historical edgeCanterbury
Canterbury have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Good recent formCanterbury
Canterbury have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formNorthland
Northland have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Tighter defenseNorthland
Northland are conceding just 20.6 points per game over their recent matches.
20.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Canterbury at 66% — final result was Northland win, Canterbury 12-36 Northland.
Predicted score was 35-17.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Canterbury have averaged 29.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Northland have averaged 27.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Canterbury are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Northland.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | Canterbury | Northland |
|---|---|---|
| -13 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -11.5 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| -11 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -10.5 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| -10 | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| -9.5 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| -9 | 1.88 | 1.89 |
| -8.5 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 1.71 | 2.04 |
| 60 | 1.84 | 1.98 |
| 60.5 | 1.78 | 1.97 |
| 61 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| 61.5 | 1.88 | 1.87 |
| 62 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
| 62.5 | 1.92 | 1.82 |
| 63.5 | 1.95 | 1.79 |
Average price across 8 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
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Who is likely to win Canterbury vs Northland?+
Our AI model favors Canterbury to win, with a 66% probability (Northland 14%).
What time does Canterbury vs Northland kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 7:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in Canterbury vs Northland?+
Canterbury: 12-0. Northland: 21-15. Final: 12-36.