Wellington vs Counties Manukau

Bunnings NPC· 5
LLLLPoints 300-388
WLLLPoints 335-316
Home14W 0D 6L(621-472)
Away4W 0D 16L(516-682)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 30, 2026, 2:05 PM (stadium time)

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AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Wellington win
55%
Draw
5%
Counties Manukau win
40%

Predicted score: 30-24

Data suggests Wellington has a stronger performance at home with a 70% win rate this season, although they recently faced several losses. Counties Manukau's away form is less convincing, with only a 20% success rate. The head-to-head history favors Wellington, having won 3 out of the last 4 encounters. This context leads to an estimated prediction of Wellington scoring 30 points and Counties Manukau scoring 24.

  • Wellington has a home win rate of 70% this season.
  • Counties Manukau has struggled away with only a 20% win rate.
  • Historically, Wellington has won 3 of the last 4 matches against Counties Manukau.
  • Wellington's average of 30 points scored per game at home suggests they can be competitive.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
49/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Wellington

  • Strong home recordWellington

    Wellington have won 14 of their last 20 home matches.

    14/20 home wins
  • Weak away recordCounties Manukau

    Counties Manukau have won 4 of their last 20 away matches.

    4/20 away wins
  • Historical edgeWellington

    Wellington have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formWellington

    Wellington have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • Wellington have averaged 30 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Counties Manukau have averaged 33.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Wellington are unbeaten in 3 of the last 4 meetings with Counties Manukau.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Wellington wins
0Draws
1Counties Manukau wins
161-121Points
Standings not available yet.

More Bunnings NPC predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Wellington vs Counties Manukau?+

Our AI model favors Wellington to win, with a 55% probability (Counties Manukau 40%).

What time does Wellington vs Counties Manukau kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 30, 2026, 2:05 AM (your local time, based on your device).