Cardiff vs Wrexham
Match events
- 3'K. Moore (Daniel Imray)
- 33'K. Moore
- 54'Dominic Hyam
- 62'Ollie Tanner (R. Colwill)
- 63'C. Willock (J. Colwill)
- 67'Oliver Rathbone (B. Whiteman)
- 72'K. Moore (S. Smith)
- 72'Nathan Broadhead (D. Keillor-Dunn)
- 75'Matty James (George Dobson)
- 75'Daniel Imray (Ryan Longman)
- 80'Alex Robertson (Callum Robinson)
- 80'C. Ashford (I. Davies)
- 80'Calum Scanlon (Ronan Kpakio)
- 90+8'R. Colwill
Lineups
- 2.3
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Cardiff and Wrexham, with Cardiff slightly favored based on their recent performance, including a win in their last meeting. While both teams have yet to play in the current season, Cardiff's solid home record from recent fixtures indicates a stronger attacking potential compared to Wrexham, who have been inconsistent defensively.
- Cardiff won the last head-to-head encounter 2-1 against Wrexham
- Cardiff has a strong recent home form with three wins in their last five matches
- Wrexham has struggled defensively, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cardiff
- Historical edgeCardiff
Cardiff have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Sharper attackCardiff
Cardiff are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game - Tighter defenseCardiff
Cardiff are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Higher league positionCardiff
Cardiff sit 2 places above Wrexham in the table.
#12 vs #14
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cardiff at 37% — final result was a draw, Cardiff 1-1 Wrexham.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cardiff have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Wrexham have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Kitchen
Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Cardiff
Wrexham
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SwanseaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cardiff vs Wrexham?+
Our AI model favors Cardiff to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, Wrexham 36%).
What time does Cardiff vs Wrexham kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).