Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa

Canadian Premier League· Group Stage
WLDWGoals 18-142nd in league
WDWWGoals 22-103rd in league
Home7W 2D 0L(22-6)
Away3W 1D 6L(13-21)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'N. Edwards (A. Pearlman)
  2. 18'T. Warschewski (Nathan Ingham)
  3. 22'N. Fleuriau Chateau
  4. 24'Jean-Aniel Assi
  5. 45+4'Harrison Paton
  6. 46'D. Aguilar (Juan Castro)
  7. 53'T. Warschewski (Ali Musse)
  8. 59'R. Mbomio
  9. 60'Gabriel Antinoro (E. Garcia)
  10. 60'Jean-Aniel Assi (J. Coulanges)
  11. 61'A. Didic
  12. 64'Harrison Paton (Eryk Kobza)
  13. 64'N. Edwards (O. Antoniuk)
  14. 69'K. Habibullah (R. Khoury)
  15. 69'C. Elva (Maël Henry)
  16. 69'S. Camargo (N. Myroniuk)
  17. 74'Ballou Tabla (Ballou Tabla)
  18. 85'R. Khoury
  19. 90+1'Ali Musse (C. Ofori)
  20. 90'Manny Aparicio (R. Abraham)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Cavalry FCAtlético Ottawa
1.8
Goals/game
2.2
1.4
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Cavalry FC win
61.56%
Draw
21.73%
Atlético Ottawa win
16.71%
62.9%BTTS
62%Over 2.5
16.5%Cavalry FC clean sheet
24.7%Atlético Ottawa clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Cavalry FC has a significant advantage playing at home, with an unbeaten record and strong offensive output. However, Atlético Ottawa has had success in their recent encounters, winning their last match against Cavalry FC. The numbers favor Cavalry FC to edge this match, although Ottawa's capable attack could lead to a closely contested game.

  • Cavalry FC unbeaten at home this season with 6 wins and 2 draws.
  • Cavalry FC has a strong recent home form, winning their last home match 4-1 against York United.
  • Historically, Atlético Ottawa has performed well against Cavalry FC, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cavalry FC

  • Historical edgeAtlético Ottawa

    Atlético Ottawa have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formCavalry FC

    Cavalry FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Strong recent formAtlético Ottawa

    Atlético Ottawa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Strong home recordCavalry FC

    Cavalry FC have won 7 of their last 9 home matches.

    7/9 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cavalry FC at 61.56% — final result was Cavalry FC win, Cavalry FC 3-1 Atlético Ottawa.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cavalry FC1.48market 67.4% · model 61.56%
Draw4.08market 24.5% · model 21.73%
Atlético Ottawa5.48market 18.3% · model 16.71%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cavalry FC have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atlético Ottawa have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Cavalry FC wins
3Draws
4Atlético Ottawa wins
9-16Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cavalry FC1.48best 1.55
Draw4.08best 4.30
Atlético Ottawa5.48best 6.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.59best 1.62
Under 2.52.22best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.80
No2.02best 2.10

Double chance

Cavalry FC/Draw1.11best 1.17
Cavalry FC/Atlético Ottawa1.17best 1.22
Draw/Atlético Ottawa2.39best 2.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38best 2.38

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cavalry FC1.48 0.02
Draw4.08 0.02
Atlético Ottawa5.48 0.12
21 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Cavalry FC win+0.4pp
AI
61.56%
Market
61.2%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
21.73%
Market
22.3%
Atlético Ottawa win+0.1pp
AI
16.71%
Market
16.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Cavalry FC
181242+2540WDWW
3
Atlético Ottawa
19937-130WWWL

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game2.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Cavalry FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

Atlético Ottawa

0-15'
10%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
30%
76-90+'
50%

More Canadian Premier League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa?+

Our AI model favors Cavalry FC to win, with a 61.56% probability (Draw 21.73%, Atlético Ottawa 16.71%).

What time does Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 8:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).