Cavalry FC vs Forge — Canadian Premier League

Canadian Premier League· Group Stage

Cavalry FC

2–1Full-time

Forge

WLWLDWGoals 19-142nd in league

LDLLWWGoals 17-101st in league

Home7W 2D 0L(22-6)

Away6W 1D 2L(16-8)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

20'I. Oketokoun (Nana Opoku Ampomah)
38'N. Edwards
38'Rezart Rama
41'Daniel Nimick
41'A. Sadek
44'Tristan Borges (M. Bourgeois)
46'Nana Opoku Ampomah (D. Krutzen)
62'D. Klomp (T. Warschewski)
66'A. Aromatario
71'N. Edwards (O. Antoniuk)
72'A. Aromatario (Kyle Bekker)
72'A. Sadek (H. Massunda)
72'I. Oketokoun (M. Filion)
72'Fewo (C. Ofori)
72'S. Camargo (N. Myroniuk)
79'M. Bourgeois
83'O. Antoniuk (Harrison Paton)
90'C. Elva (Maël Henry)
90'M. Jevremović
90'A. Pearlman (L. Laing)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Cavalry FCForge

1.9
Goals/game: 1.7; 1.4
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Cavalry FC win

37.42%

Draw

30.86%

Forge win

31.72%

60.3%BTTS

57.7%Over 2.5

21.2%Cavalry FC clean sheet

23.5%Forge clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match between Cavalry FC and Forge, with both teams having strong home and away records. Recent head-to-head results indicate a tendency for draws, and both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, particularly Forge with an average of 1.2 goals conceded in their last 10 matches. Statistically, a low-scoring draw appears likely based on both teams' scoring averages and recent form.

Cavalry FC unbeaten at home this season with 5 wins in 7 matches
Forge has conceded 1.2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
Last five head-to-head encounters include three draws and two wins for Cavalry FC

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cavalry FC

Good recent formCavalry FC
Cavalry FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Good recent formForge
Forge have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Sharper attackCavalry FC
Cavalry FC are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Historical edgeCavalry FC
Cavalry FC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cavalry FC at 37.42% — final result was Cavalry FC win, Cavalry FC 2-1 Forge.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cavalry FC ✓2.37market 42.2% · model 37.42%

Forge2.87market 34.8% · model 31.72%

Draw3.03market 33% · model 30.86%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Cavalry FC have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Forge have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Cavalry FC wins

2Draws

2Forge wins

11-7Goals

Forge

0–1Nov 2, 2025, 9:00 PM

Cavalry FC

1–1Oct 11, 2025, 1:30 AM

Forge

Cavalry FC

4–1Aug 30, 2025, 8:00 PM

Forge

1–1May 31, 2025, 9:00 PM

Cavalry FC

Forge

1–0Apr 5, 2025, 9:30 PM

Cavalry FC

2–1Nov 9, 2024, 8:00 PM

Forge

0–1Oct 27, 2024, 8:00 PM

Cavalry FC

Forge

2–1Sep 7, 2024, 11:00 PM

Cavalry FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cavalry FC2.37best 2.50

Draw3.03▲best 3.17

Forge2.87▼best 3.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.11▼best 2.21

Under 2.51.67▲best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.83▲best 1.91

No1.85▲best 1.91

Double chance

Cavalry FC/Draw1.36▲best 1.44

Cavalry FC/Forge1.31▲best 1.36

Draw/Forge1.50▼best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36▲best 1.36

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00▼best 3.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40▼best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75▲best 2.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cavalry FC2.37▲ 0.15

Draw3.03▼ 0.01

Forge2.87▼ 0.19

14 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Cavalry FC win-1pp

37.42%

Market

38.4%

Draw+0.9pp

30.86%

Market

30%

Forge win+0.1pp

31.72%

Market

31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.