Celje vs Ararat-Armenia
Match events
- 19'H. Oliveira
- 19'A. Tera
- 33'L. Koutris
- 46'L. Koutris (B. Verbič)
- 54'A. Tera (Benny)
- 64'A. Tutyškinas
- 66'M. Avdyli
- 69'P. Sirvys (Yaya Dukuly)
- 69'A. Kucys (M. Poplatnik)
- 73'H. Oliveira (M. Carlier)
- 73'A. Serobyan (Franca Carlos)
- 79'M. Zabukovnik
- 83'Yaya Dukuly (M. Avdyli)
- 85'B. Verbič
- 86'B. Verbič
- 89'Z. Banjaqui (Alioune Ndour)
- 90+1'Svit Sešlar (I. Calusic)
- 90'K. Muradyan (J. Balanta)
Lineups
- 2.4
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Celje, bolstered by strong recent home form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, appears well-positioned to score. They average 2.6 goals per game lately, while Ararat-Armenia's defense has shown vulnerability, conceding 1.2 goals per game. Historically, Celje has faced a recent defeat against Ararat-Armenia, but current performances favor the home side.
- Celje has won 4 out of their last 5 home matches
- Celje averages 2.6 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Ararat-Armenia has conceded 1.2 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Celje lost the last head-to-head match 0-1 against Ararat-Armenia
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Celje
- Historical edgeArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Sharper attackCelje
Celje are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game - Tighter defenseCelje
Celje are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Good recent formCelje
Celje have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Celje at 65% — final result was Celje win, Celje 2-0 Ararat-Armenia.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Celje have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Guida
Based on 20 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Celje
Ararat-Armenia
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Dinamo ZagrebFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?+
Our AI model favors Celje to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 21%, Ararat-Armenia 14%).
What time does Celje vs Ararat-Armenia kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).