Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse
Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka · Capacity 24,481 · grass
Match events
- 45+2'Oh Se-Hun
Lineups
- 2.4
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The analysis indicates that Cerezo Osaka holds a slight advantage going into this match, especially at home where they have shown good form. Shimizu S-pulse's scoring struggles, coupled with their consistency in conceding, may hinder their performance against a Cerezo side that has historically performed well in this fixture.
- Cerezo Osaka has a strong home record this season with 1 win from 1 match played.
- Shimizu S-pulse has only averaged 0.8 goals scored over their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Cerezo Osaka has had the upper hand, winning 4 out of the last 5 encounters against Shimizu S-pulse.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cerezo Osaka
- Sharper attackCerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.4/game - Good recent formCerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Historical edgeCerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionCerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka sit 9 places above Shimizu S-pulse in the table.
#6 vs #15
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cerezo Osaka at 41.56% — final result was Cerezo Osaka win, Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cerezo Osaka have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Shimizu S-pulse have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulseCerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulseCerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulseCerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulseCerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulseOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
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FC TokyoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?+
Our AI model favors Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 41.56% probability (Draw 27.51%, Shimizu S-pulse 30.94%).
Where is Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse played?+
The match is played at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka (capacity 24,481).
What time does Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).