CF Montreal vs DC United
Match events
- 19'J. Hopkins
- 50'Prince-Osei Owusu
- 50'Keisuke Kurokawa
- 62'J. Hopkins (J. Stroud)
- 62'B. Ceballos (D. Bugaj)
- 62'F. Herbers (Matthew Longstaff)
- 63'L. Petrasso
- 66'T. Baribo (K. Nono)
- 77'N. Streit (D. Ríos)
- 80'K. Nono (H. Kijima)
- 88'Brandon Servania (N. Markovic)
- 88'L. Munteanu (N. Ordaz)
- 90'Victor Loturi (O. Escobar)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The numbers suggest a closely contested match with both teams struggling recently; CF Montreal has not won in their last four outings, while DC United remains unbeaten in their last five matches. Historically, their recent head-to-head encounters have been balanced, further supporting the likelihood of a draw in this matchup.
- DC United unbeaten in last 5 matches
- CF Montreal has not won in last 4 games
- CF Montreal has conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors CF Montreal
- Tighter defenseCF Montreal
CF Montreal are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded - Historical edgeDC United
DC United have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionDC United
DC United sit 3 places above CF Montreal in the table.
#11 vs #14 - Poor recent formDC United
DC United have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked CF Montreal at 44% — final result was a draw, CF Montreal 1-1 DC United.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- CF Montreal have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- DC United have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
CF Montreal
DC UnitedDC UnitedCF MontrealCF MontrealDC UnitedDC UnitedCF MontrealCF MontrealDC UnitedDC UnitedCF MontrealCF MontrealDC UnitedCF MontrealDC UnitedOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CF Montreal | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 | WDDL |
| 11 | DC United | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 | LDDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Mendoza
Based on 37 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
CF Montreal
DC United
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win CF Montreal vs DC United?+
Our AI model favors CF Montreal to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 26%, DC United 30%).
What time does CF Montreal vs DC United kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).