CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 21
DLDWGoals 13-1514th in league
WWLWGoals 17-1312th in league
Home3W 5D 3L(15-13)
Away3W 4D 4L(15-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'Daniel Rios
  2. 20'R. Ramos
  3. 46'B. Vera (B. Craig)
  4. 48'M. Yoshida (Joseph Paintsil)
  5. 61'D. Bugaj (B. Ceballos)
  6. 62'N. Streit (F. Herbers)
  7. 62'Daniel Pereira Gil (Alexis Sánchez)
  8. 62'Joseph Paintsil (Hirving Lozano)
  9. 62'R. Ramos (E. Thommy)
  10. 67'Victor Loturi
  11. 67'B. Craig
  12. 68'J. Marcinkowski
  13. 71'J. Nelson (N. Micovic)
  14. 72'I. Parente (J. Aude)
  15. 79'Prince-Osei Owusu (L. Petrasso)
  16. 80'J. Neal (O. Escobar)
  17. 82'R. Taylor (C. Garcés)
  18. 90+1'B. Ceballos
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CF MontrealLos Angeles Galaxy
1.3
Goals/game
1.7
1.5
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

CF Montreal win
48%
Draw
25%
Los Angeles Galaxy win
27%
58.1%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
20.2%CF Montreal clean sheet
27.3%Los Angeles Galaxy clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis indicates a competitive matchup between CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy, with the Galaxy having a strong head-to-head record, winning the last four encounters. Recent form for both teams shows inconsistency, but Montreal's ability to draw at home may level the playing field. The scoring averages suggest a likely low-scoring game, with both teams averaging similar goals conceded.

  • Los Angeles Galaxy won the last 4 matchups against CF Montreal
  • CF Montreal's recent form shows 2 wins in the last 5 matches
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has a better scoring average per game over the last 10 matches
  • CF Montreal's home record is balanced with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses this season.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
84/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CF Montreal

  • Historical edgeLos Angeles Galaxy

    Los Angeles Galaxy have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionLos Angeles Galaxy

    Los Angeles Galaxy sit 2 places above CF Montreal in the table.

    #12 vs #14
  • Good recent formLos Angeles Galaxy

    Los Angeles Galaxy have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackLos Angeles Galaxy

    Los Angeles Galaxy are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CF Montreal at 48% — final result was a draw, CF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CF Montreal2.01market 49.7% · model 48%
Los Angeles Galaxy3.36market 29.8% · model 27%
Draw3.70market 27% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CF Montreal have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1CF Montreal wins
2Draws
5Los Angeles Galaxy wins
6-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

CF Montreal2.01best 2.12
Draw3.70best 3.80
Los Angeles Galaxy3.36best 3.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.59best 1.65
Under 2.52.32best 2.38

Both teams to score

Yes1.51best 1.53
No2.44best 2.55

Double chance

CF Montreal/Draw1.30best 1.36
CF Montreal/Los Angeles Galaxy1.25best 1.28
Draw/Los Angeles Galaxy1.75best 1.88

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15best 1.15
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.13best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.27best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.52best 3.55

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CF Montreal2.01 0.22
Draw3.70 0.09
Los Angeles Galaxy3.36 0.51
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

CF Montreal win+1.3pp
AI
48%
Market
46.7%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
25%
Market
25.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy win-1pp
AI
27%
Market
28%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
CF Montreal
215610-1021WDDL
12
Los Angeles Galaxy
22688-526WLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CF Montreal

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Los Angeles Galaxy

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?+

Our AI model favors CF Montreal to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 25%, Los Angeles Galaxy 27%).

What time does CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).