Charlotte vs Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 19
LLDWGoals 11-155th in league
WLLLGoals 13-1515th in league
Home7W 3D 2L(26-13)
Away1W 3D 7L(17-25)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 1'Brandt Bronico (D. Schnegg)
  2. 8'Liel Abada
  3. 39'D. Schnegg
  4. 41'C. Adams
  5. 46'Lautaro Giaccone (Steven Moreira)
  6. 46'Tarun Karumanchi (André Gomes)
  7. 46'C. Adams (Brais Méndez)
  8. 46'L. de la Torre (Allan Saint-Maximin)
  9. 56'Nathan Byrne (W. Cleary)
  10. 56'I. Toklomati (Archie Goodwin)
  11. 60'Henry Kessler
  12. 71'Malte Amundsen (A. Herrera)
  13. 71'Dániel Gazdag (Josef Martínez)
  14. 71'Liel Abada (R. Aloko)
  15. 73'Pep Mas (R. Aloko)
  16. 87'Pep Mas (Tyger Smalls)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CharlotteColumbus Crew
1.1
Goals/game
1.3
1.5
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Charlotte win
41%
Draw
26%
Columbus Crew win
33%
54.8%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
24.7%Charlotte clean sheet
27.3%Columbus Crew clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests this match could be closely contested given both teams' recent form, with Charlotte having a slight edge in head-to-head results. Historically, Charlotte has performed better against Columbus Crew, but their recent form shows inconsistencies. With Columbus struggling to secure wins away, the match could likely end in a draw or a very narrow victory for either side.

  • Charlotte has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Columbus Crew
  • Columbus Crew has only 1 away win in 9 attempts this season
  • Charlotte has a recent home win against Philadelphia Union while Columbus Crew struggles on the road
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Charlotte

  • Poor recent formColumbus Crew

    Columbus Crew have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Strong home recordCharlotte

    Charlotte have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.

    7/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordColumbus Crew

    Columbus Crew have won 1 of their last 11 away matches.

    1/11 away wins
  • Sharper attackColumbus Crew

    Columbus Crew are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Charlotte at 41% — final result was Charlotte win, Charlotte 3-1 Columbus Crew.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Charlotte2.27market 44.1% · model 41%
Columbus Crew2.89market 34.6% · model 33%
Draw3.56market 28.1% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Charlotte have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Columbus Crew have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Charlotte wins
3Draws
2Columbus Crew wins
14-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Charlotte2.27best 2.34
Draw3.56best 3.70
Columbus Crew2.89best 3.02

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69best 1.76
Under 2.52.15best 2.23

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.57
No2.31best 2.38

Double chance

Charlotte/Draw1.38best 1.42
Charlotte/Columbus Crew1.27best 1.30
Draw/Columbus Crew1.61best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.17best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.27best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.45best 3.50

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Charlotte2.27 0.05
Draw3.56 0.09
Columbus Crew2.89 0.01
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Charlotte win-0.3pp
AI
41%
Market
41.3%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
26%
Market
26.3%
Columbus Crew win+0.6pp
AI
33%
Market
32.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Charlotte
21957+632DWLW
15
Columbus Crew
215511-620LLDW

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

F. Dujic

4Yellow cards / game
0.1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Charlotte

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
28.6%

Columbus Crew

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
11.1%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
44.4%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?+

Our AI model favors Charlotte to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 26%, Columbus Crew 33%).

What time does Charlotte vs Columbus Crew kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).