Charlotte vs DC United

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 21
Charlotte
31Full-time
DC United
LLWDGoals 11-155th in league
LDDLGoals 9-1911th in league
Home7W 3D 2L(26-13)
Away2W 6D 3L(13-14)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 34'Keisuke Kurokawa
  2. 44'S. Hefti
  3. 55'L. Munteanu (Peglow)
  4. 64'D. Schnegg
  5. 65'L. de la Torre (B. Bronico)
  6. 65'R. Aloko (Liel Abada)
  7. 65'A. Westwood (D. Diani)
  8. 66'W. Cleary (Pep Mas)
  9. 68'Peglow
  10. 75'I. Toklomati (Archie Goodwin)
  11. 75'K. Nono (H. Kijima)
  12. 75'J. Hopkins (N. Ordaz)
  13. 75'Brandon Servania (N. Markovic)
  14. 77'Pep Mas (Liel Abada)
  15. 83'Allan Saint-Maximin (T. Smalls)
  16. 86'T. Smalls
  17. 87'Peglow (J. Stroud)
  18. 90+4'Pep Mas
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CharlotteDC United
1.1
Goals/game
0.9
1.5
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Charlotte win
55%
Draw
24%
DC United win
21%
54.3%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
30.1%Charlotte clean sheet
22.3%DC United clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The analysis suggests that Charlotte has a statistical advantage, particularly with their recent home performances and strong head-to-head record against DC United. While DC United struggles defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per game on average, Charlotte's ability to secure results at home indicates a favorable outcome for them. The predicted score reflects Charlotte's offensive capabilities and DC United's defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Charlotte unbeaten in last 5 home matches against DC United
  • DC United has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Charlotte has a strong home record with 6 wins in 11 matches this season
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
92/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Charlotte

  • Historical edgeCharlotte

    Charlotte have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formDC United

    DC United have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Strong home recordCharlotte

    Charlotte have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.

    7/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordDC United

    DC United have won 2 of their last 11 away matches.

    2/11 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Charlotte at 55% — final result was Charlotte win, Charlotte 3-1 DC United.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (92/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Charlotte1.77market 56.5% · model 55%
Draw3.85market 26% · model 24%
DC United4.22market 23.7% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Charlotte have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • DC United have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Charlotte wins
1Draws
2DC United wins
10-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Charlotte1.77best 1.84
Draw3.85best 4.00
DC United4.22best 4.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63best 1.67
Under 2.52.24best 2.33

Both teams to score

Yes1.59best 1.62
No2.24best 2.30

Double chance

Charlotte/Draw1.21best 1.25
Charlotte/DC United1.23best 1.27
Draw/DC United2.00best 2.08

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.38best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.85best 2.95
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.25best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.13best 1.14

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Charlotte1.77 0.04
Draw3.85 0.07
DC United4.22 0.39
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Charlotte win+1.8pp
AI
55%
Market
53.2%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
24%
Market
24.5%
DC United win-1.3pp
AI
21%
Market
22.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Charlotte
21957+632DWLW
11
DC United
21597-824LDDW

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.9
1.5Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Charlotte

0-15'
42.9%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
14.3%

DC United

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Charlotte vs DC United?+

Our AI model favors Charlotte to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, DC United 21%).

What time does Charlotte vs DC United kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).