Charlotte vs DC United
Match events
- 34'Keisuke Kurokawa
- 44'S. Hefti
- 55'L. Munteanu (Peglow)
- 64'D. Schnegg
- 65'L. de la Torre (B. Bronico)
- 65'R. Aloko (Liel Abada)
- 65'A. Westwood (D. Diani)
- 66'W. Cleary (Pep Mas)
- 68'Peglow
- 75'I. Toklomati (Archie Goodwin)
- 75'K. Nono (H. Kijima)
- 75'J. Hopkins (N. Ordaz)
- 75'Brandon Servania (N. Markovic)
- 77'Pep Mas (Liel Abada)
- 83'Allan Saint-Maximin (T. Smalls)
- 86'T. Smalls
- 87'Peglow (J. Stroud)
- 90+4'Pep Mas
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The analysis suggests that Charlotte has a statistical advantage, particularly with their recent home performances and strong head-to-head record against DC United. While DC United struggles defensively, conceding 1.9 goals per game on average, Charlotte's ability to secure results at home indicates a favorable outcome for them. The predicted score reflects Charlotte's offensive capabilities and DC United's defensive vulnerabilities.
- Charlotte unbeaten in last 5 home matches against DC United
- DC United has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Charlotte has a strong home record with 6 wins in 11 matches this season
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Charlotte
- Historical edgeCharlotte
Charlotte have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formDC United
DC United have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Strong home recordCharlotte
Charlotte have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.
7/12 home wins - Weak away recordDC United
DC United have won 2 of their last 11 away matches.
2/11 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Charlotte at 55% — final result was Charlotte win, Charlotte 3-1 DC United.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (92/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Charlotte have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- DC United have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Charlotte
DC United
More Major League Soccer predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Charlotte vs DC United?+
Our AI model favors Charlotte to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, DC United 21%).
What time does Charlotte vs DC United kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

