Chaves vs AVS
Match events
- 21'Kiko
- 43'Marcos Andre (T. Simoes)
- 46'G. Neiva
- 49'Rodrigo Pinho
- 52'André Rodrigues
- 56'Mateus Pivo
- 58'Marcos Andre
- 59'Davi Schuindt (Carlos Ponck)
- 61'Rodrigo Pinho
- 62'Kiko (W. Tavares)
- 62'André Rodrigues (Pedro Pelágio)
- 62'R. Esajas (Tomás Costa)
- 71'Bruno Rodrigues (Ivo Vazquez)
- 71'G. Neiva (G. Molina)
- 71'Mateus Pivo (J. Meireles)
- 73'Leo Alaba (M. Tounkara)
- 76'Ktatau
- 79'A. Keita (Hildeberto Pereira)
- 79'F. Almeida (Ruan Assis)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 2.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The statistics suggest a closely contested match, with Chaves struggling at home and currently on a losing streak. AVS, while not winning, has managed to secure draws in recent outings, indicating some resilience. Both teams have been conceding more than they score, which might result in a low-scoring draw.
- Chaves has lost their last 5 home games in league competition.
- AVS has drawn their last 2 away matches and is unbeaten in their last 3 away games overall.
- Chaves averages 1.4 goals scored but 2.1 goals conceded per game over their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chaves
- Higher league positionAVS
AVS sit 3 places above Chaves in the table.
#15 vs #18 - Poor recent formChaves
Chaves have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackChaves
Chaves are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Tighter defenseAVS
AVS are conceding just 2 goals per game over their recent matches.
2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chaves at 52% — final result was a draw, Chaves 2-2 AVS.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chaves have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- AVS have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Chaves
AVS
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Benfica BFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chaves vs AVS?+
Our AI model favors Chaves to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 27%, AVS 21%).
What time does Chaves vs AVS kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).