Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 2 |
 Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-4
Data suggests that the Chicago Cubs have a strong home scoring average, contributing to their favorable win probabilities. However, their recent defensive struggles contrast with the Cincinnati Reds, who have lost several matches despite their potent offense. Historically, the Reds have had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups against the Cubs, which could play a significant role in this game.
- Chicago Cubs averaging 5.4 runs scored in last 10 matches
- Cincinnati Reds conceding an average of 5.8 runs in last 10 matches
- Cincinnati Reds have won the last 4 out of 5 meetings with the Cubs
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago Cubs
- Historical edgeCincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago Cubs at 57.92% — final result was Cincinnati Reds win, Chicago Cubs 8-10 Cincinnati Reds.
Predicted score was 6-4.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago Cubs have averaged 5.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cincinnati Reds have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Cubs are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Cincinnati Reds.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.51▼ | 1.27 |
| -3 | 3.09▼ | 1.34▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.65 | 1.46▲ |
| -2 | 2.40▼ | 1.58▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.09▼ | 1.75▲ |
| -1 | 1.72▼ | 2.12▲ |
| +1 | 1.34▲ | 3.12▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.29▲ | 3.40▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.45▼ | 2.67▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.62▼ | 2.26▲ |
| 8 | 1.73▼ | 2.09▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.93▲ |
| 9 | 2.13▼ | 1.72▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.32▼ | 1.59▲ |
| 10 | 2.63▼ | 1.47▲ |
| 10.5 | 2.75▼ | 1.43▲ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
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Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
Boston Red SoxFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?+
Our AI model favors Chicago Cubs to win, with a 57.92% probability (Cincinnati Reds 42.08%).
What time does Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds start?+
First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds?+
Chicago Cubs: 1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 4, 0. Cincinnati Reds: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 5, 2, 0, 1. Final: 8-10.