Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
Match events
- 9'Robin Lod (Andrew Gutman)
- 14'D. D'Avilla (M. Haile-Selassie)
- 51'Brandon Bye
- 57'Robin Lod
- 61'P. Zinckernagel (P. Dithejane)
- 61'Robert Lewandowski (J. Bamba)
- 61'Cole Bassett (J. Ortiz)
- 61'Antony (A. Lassiter)
- 72'Leonardo Barroso (Jonathan Dean)
- 76'D. Da Costa (V. Janssen)
- 77'D. Chará (José Caicedo)
- 79'Anton Saletros
- 82'Anton Saletros (Mauricio Pineda)
- 85'Finn Surman (Brandon Bye)
- 88'Kamal Miller (Omir Fernandez)
- 90+4'V. Janssen
Lineups
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Chicago Fire is in strong form at home, winning 6 out of 9 matches this season. Conversely, Portland Timbers struggles on the road are apparent, with only 2 wins and a high average of goals conceded. Historically, the last five encounters have been competitive, but recent performances indicate Chicago may have the advantage.
- Chicago Fire has won 6 of their 9 home games this season
- Portland Timbers have only 2 away wins in 9 matches
- Chicago Fire averages 2.4 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
- Portland Timbers conceded an average of 2.1 goals in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago Fire
- Strong home recordChicago Fire
Chicago Fire have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
7/10 home wins - Weak away recordPortland Timbers
Portland Timbers have won 2 of their last 11 away matches.
2/11 away wins - Good recent formChicago Fire
Chicago Fire have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackChicago Fire
Chicago Fire are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago Fire at 61.84% — final result was Chicago Fire win, Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago Fire have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Portland Timbers have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Portland Timbers
Chicago FirePortland TimbersChicago FireChicago FirePortland TimbersPortland TimbersChicago FireChicago FirePortland TimbersPortland TimbersChicago FirePortland TimbersChicago FireChicago FirePortland TimbersOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +11 | 36 | WWWL |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 | WLWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
C. Penso
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?+
Our AI model favors Chicago Fire to win, with a 61.84% probability (Draw 20.06%, Portland Timbers 18.1%).
What time does Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).