Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants
Value found
+20.6% edgeYomiuri Giants win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chunichi Dragons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
The numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Yomiuri Giants hold a stronger position with a higher season win percentage and recent head-to-head success. Chunichi Dragons struggle at home, having only a 35% win rate this season. In their last 10 games, Chunichi averages 3.2 runs scored and 3.5 runs allowed, while Yomiuri averages 3.8 runs scored but gives up a significantly higher 5.1 runs.
- Yomiuri Giants have won 5 of the last 7 matchups against Chunichi Dragons.
- Chunichi Dragons have a home win rate of only 35% this season.
- Yomiuri Giants have a better overall season record at 0.529 compared to Chunichi's 0.425.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Tighter defenseChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons are conceding just 2.3 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game conceded - Historical edgeYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are averaging 3.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game - Higher league positionYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants sit 3 places above Chunichi Dragons in the table.
#2 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 58% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Chunichi Dragons 0-1 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chunichi Dragons | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.33▼ | 1.29▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.61▲ | 1.46▲ |
| -1 | 2.14 | 1.60 |
| -0.5 | 1.73 | 1.98 |
| +0.5 | 1.65 | 2.13 |
| +1 | 1.45▲ | 2.44▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.38▼ | 2.81▲ |
| +2 | 1.28 | 3.50▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.37 | 2.83▲ |
| 5.5 | 1.59 | 2.23▼ |
| 6 | 1.69▲ | 2.05▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 7 | 2.12▲ | 1.64▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.41 | 1.51 |
| 8 | 2.68▲ | 1.38 |
| 8.5 | 2.92 | 1.36 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 116 | 66 | 50 | +69 | 57 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 118 | 63 | 55 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 117 | 53 | 64 | +6 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 116 | 52 | 64 | -71 | 45 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 120 | 51 | 69 | -7 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 113 | 46 | 67 | -82 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 117 | 72 | 45 | +180 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 120 | 68 | 52 | +38 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 120 | 66 | 54 | +66 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 119 | 57 | 62 | -70 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 114 | 52 | 62 | -73 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 116 | 45 | 71 | -83 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Orix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 58% probability (Chunichi Dragons 42%).
What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Chunichi Dragons: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 0-1.