Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants
Value found
+20.3% edgeYomiuri Giants win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chunichi Dragons | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | 11 | 13 | 0 |
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
The data suggests that Yomiuri Giants have the upper hand with a recent head-to-head advantage, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Chunichi Dragons. Additionally, with a better overall season win percentage and the Dragons' struggles at home, the numbers favor the Giants in this matchup.
- Yomiuri Giants have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against Chunichi Dragons.
- Chunichi Dragons have a home win rate of only 35% this season.
- Yomiuri Giants have a higher win percentage of 0.529 compared to Chunichi's 0.425.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Historical edgeYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are averaging 3.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.9/game - Tighter defenseChunichi Dragons
Chunichi Dragons are conceding just 2.3 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game conceded - Higher league positionYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants sit 3 places above Chunichi Dragons in the table.
#2 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 58% — final result was Chunichi Dragons win, Chunichi Dragons 11-2 Yomiuri Giants.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chunichi Dragons have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chunichi Dragons are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Yomiuri Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chunichi Dragons | Yomiuri Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.24 | 1.30 |
| -1.5 | 2.58 | 1.46 |
| -1 | 2.12 | 1.61 |
| -0.5 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| +0.5 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
| +1 | 1.45 | 2.44 |
| +1.5 | 1.39 | 2.76 |
| +2 | 1.27 | 3.48 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.36 | 2.89 |
| 5.5 | 1.56 | 2.30 |
| 6 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| 6.5 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
| 7 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| 7.5 | 2.35 | 1.54 |
| 8 | 2.62 | 1.43 |
| 8.5 | 2.88 | 1.36 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 116 | 66 | 50 | +69 | 57 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 118 | 63 | 55 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 117 | 53 | 64 | +6 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 116 | 52 | 64 | -71 | 45 | — |
| 5 | Chunichi Dragons | 120 | 51 | 69 | -7 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 113 | 46 | 67 | -82 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 117 | 72 | 45 | +180 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 120 | 68 | 52 | +38 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 120 | 66 | 54 | +66 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 119 | 57 | 62 | -70 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 114 | 52 | 62 | -73 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 116 | 45 | 71 | -83 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Orix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 58% probability (Chunichi Dragons 42%).
What time does Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants?+
Chunichi Dragons: 2, 1, 5, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0. Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0. Final: 11-2.