Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 19
LDWLGoals 12-197th in league
LLDDGoals 11-2415th in league
Home7W 0D 3L(20-9)
Away2W 0D 8L(7-31)

Unknown · Referee: G. Gonzales

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 30'Zorhan Bassong
  2. 38'K. Agyabeng
  3. 42'Shapi Suleymanov (Jacob Bartlett)
  4. 46'Zorhan Bassong (Ian James)
  5. 56'W. Frederick (Youssef Maziz)
  6. 62'O. Blorian (Wyatt Meyer)
  7. 65'Reggie Cannon (Youssef Maziz)
  8. 66'D. Sealy (D. Yapi)
  9. 66'Dejan Joveljić (Taylor Calheira)
  10. 66'Capita (Jayden Reid)
  11. 84'J. Atencio
  12. 85'G. Minoungou (H. Ojediran)
  13. 88'M. Mosquera
  14. 90+5'Rafael Navarro
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City
1.2
Goals/game
1.1
1.9
Conceded/game
2.4

AI match analysis

Colorado Rapids win
65%
Draw
20%
Sporting Kansas City win
15%
64.8%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
22.3%Colorado Rapids clean sheet
16.5%Sporting Kansas City clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Colorado Rapids have a significant advantage playing at home, where they have recorded 5 wins this season. Conversely, Sporting Kansas City struggles on the road with a record of only 2 wins in their last 9 away matches. Historically, the Rapids have had the upper hand in their recent encounters, favoring them to secure a victory in this matchup.

  • Colorado Rapids have a strong home record of 5 wins from 8 matches this season
  • Sporting Kansas City has only secured 2 away victories in 9 games
  • Recent head-to-head history shows Colorado Rapids with some success against Sporting Kansas City, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Colorado Rapids

  • Poor recent formSporting Kansas City

    Sporting Kansas City have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Strong home recordColorado Rapids

    Colorado Rapids have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

    7/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordSporting Kansas City

    Sporting Kansas City have won 2 of their last 10 away matches.

    2/10 away wins
  • Sharper attackColorado Rapids

    Colorado Rapids are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Colorado Rapids at 65% — final result was Colorado Rapids win, Colorado Rapids 2-0 Sporting Kansas City.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Colorado Rapids1.46market 68.6% · model 65%
Draw4.69market 21.3% · model 20%
Sporting Kansas City5.99market 16.7% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Colorado Rapids have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sporting Kansas City have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Colorado Rapids wins
1Draws
4Sporting Kansas City wins
10-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Colorado Rapids1.46best 1.49
Draw4.69best 5.00
Sporting Kansas City5.99best 7.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.50
Under 2.52.68best 2.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.62
No2.27best 2.38

Double chance

Colorado Rapids/Draw1.12best 1.14
Colorado Rapids/Sporting Kansas City1.16best 1.19
Draw/Sporting Kansas City2.64best 2.77

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.42best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.69best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 9.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Colorado Rapids1.46 0.02
Draw4.69 0.18
Sporting Kansas City5.99 0.65
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Colorado Rapids win+0.7pp
AI
65%
Market
64.3%
Draw0pp
AI
20%
Market
20%
Sporting Kansas City win-0.7pp
AI
15%
Market
15.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Colorado Rapids
219111+228WWWL
15
Sporting Kansas City
204313-3015LLLW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.9Goals conceded per game2.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Colorado Rapids

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Sporting Kansas City

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?+

Our AI model favors Colorado Rapids to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 20%, Sporting Kansas City 15%).

Where is Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City played?+

The match is played at Unknown.

What time does Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).