CRB vs Novorizontino

Serie B· Regular Season - 22
CRB
00Full-time
Novorizontino
LWWLGoals 13-117th in league
WLWWGoals 17-74th in league
Home4W 3D 4L(18-14)
Away5W 5D 3L(22-10)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'Lucas Lovat
  2. 39'Romulo
  3. 45+3'Bressan
  4. 53'Sander
  5. 61'Romulo (Juninho)
  6. 61'Maykon Jesus (Diego Galo)
  7. 66'Lucas Lovat (Reverson)
  8. 66'Kevin (Hereda)
  9. 72'Reidiney (Matheus Bianqui)
  10. 77'Pedro Castro (Patrick)
  11. 77'Daniel (Estevao)
  12. 85'Robson (Carlao)
  13. 85'Leo Naldi (Nicolas Careca)
  14. 86'Dadá Belmonte (Guilherme Pato)

Lineups

CRBNovorizontino
1.3
Goals/game
1.7
1.1
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

CRB win
40%
Draw
30%
Novorizontino win
30%
47.6%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
24.7%CRB clean sheet
36.8%Novorizontino clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Recent form suggests CRB has become more resilient at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches there. However, their head-to-head history against Novorizontino shows they've struggled, having lost their last three encounters. Meanwhile, Novorizontino's recent form is concerning, with four losses in their last five matches, indicating possible vulnerabilities. The match could see a tight contest, with both defenses being tested.

  • CRB unbeaten in last 5 matches at home
  • Novorizontino has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Historically, Novorizontino has won the last 3 encounters against CRB
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CRB

  • Historical edgeNovorizontino

    Novorizontino have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Good recent formCRB

    CRB have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formNovorizontino

    Novorizontino have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Weak home recordCRB

    CRB have won 4 of their last 11 home matches.

    4/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CRB at 40% — final result was a draw, CRB 0-0 Novorizontino.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CRB2.35market 42.5% · model 40%
Novorizontino3.00market 33.3% · model 30%
Draw3.15market 31.7% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CRB have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Novorizontino have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1CRB wins
0Draws
3Novorizontino wins
5-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

CRB2.35best 2.40
Draw3.15best 3.25
Novorizontino3.00best 3.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.03best 2.10
Under 2.51.75best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.77best 1.80
No1.93best 1.98

Double chance

CRB/Draw1.36best 1.40
CRB/Novorizontino1.32best 1.36
Draw/Novorizontino1.54best 1.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28best 1.28

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CRB2.35 0.05
Draw3.15 0.06
Novorizontino3.00 0.11
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

CRB win+0.5pp
AI
40%
Market
39.5%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
30%
Market
29.5%
Novorizontino win-1pp
AI
30%
Market
31%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
CRB
241068+136WDWW
4
Novorizontino
241176+1840WDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CRB

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Novorizontino

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CRB vs Novorizontino?+

Our AI model favors CRB to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Novorizontino 30%).

What time does CRB vs Novorizontino kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).