Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG
Match events
- 19'Ruan Tressoldi (Vitao)
- 46'Jonathan Jesus (Joao Marcelo)
- 47'A. Franco
- 55'T. Cuello
- 55'Matheus Pereira
- 60'K. Arroyo (Matheus Pereira)
- 70'Renan Lodi (T. Cuello)
- 75'Fágner (William)
- 75'Maycon (Natanael)
- 75'Bernard (Alan Minda)
- 75'Wesley Gassova (J. Costa)
- 87'Mateo Cassierra (T. Borbas)
- 87'Gerson (Matheus Henrique)
- 87'Fred (M. Cisse)
- 87'Kaio Jorge (N. Villarreal)
- 90+2'Mateo Cassierra (T. Borbas)
- 90+2'K. Arroyo (Bruno Rodrigues)
- 90+4'T. Cuello (A. Preciado)
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests a competitive match between Cruzeiro and Atletico-MG in the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. Cruzeiro has been strong at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, while Atletico-MG has allowed less than one goal per game on average. Historically, Cruzeiro has fared well against Atletico-MG, winning four of their last five encounters, pointing to a slight edge for the home side.
- Cruzeiro unbeaten in last 5 home games
- Atletico-MG has allowed an average of 0.9 goals in last 10 matches
- Historically, Cruzeiro has won 4 of the last 5 encounters with Atletico-MG
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cruzeiro
- Historical edgeCruzeiro
Cruzeiro have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseAtletico-MG
Atletico-MG are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Good recent formCruzeiro
Cruzeiro have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Strong recent formAtletico-MG
Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 3D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cruzeiro at 48% — final result was a draw, Cruzeiro 1-1 Atletico-MG.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cruzeiro have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Atletico-MG have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Atletico-MG
CruzeiroCruzeiroAtletico-MGAtletico-MGCruzeiroCruzeiroAtletico-MGAtletico-MGCruzeiroCruzeiroAtletico-MGCruzeiroAtletico-MGAtletico-MGCruzeiroOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
More Copa Do Brasil predictions
Internacional
GremioAtletico-MGCruzeiro
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
PalmeirasFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?+
Our AI model favors Cruzeiro to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 30%, Atletico-MG 22%).
What time does Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).