CSKA Sofia vs OFI

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
CSKA Sofia
02Full-time
OFI
WLWLGoals 13-13
DWWWGoals 10-12

Value found

+180.5% edge

OFI win

2AI fair odds
5.61Bookmaker odds
+180.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'D. Nikolaou
  2. 28'Aitor Cantalapiedra
  3. 36'T. Nuss (A. Poungouras)
  4. 41'C. Itu
  5. 43'Bruno Jordão
  6. 44'C. Itu
  7. 46'Bruno Jordão (J. Zwarts)
  8. 46'David Pastor (I. Solet)
  9. 56'C. Itu (P. Panayotov)
  10. 71'Aitor Cantalapiedra (I. Apostolakis)
  11. 73'I. Pittas (Leo Pereira)
  12. 77'A. Bouchalakis (Z. Karahalios)
  13. 78'I. Theodosoulakis (I. Apostolakis)
  14. 78'T. Nuss (I. Theodosoulakis)
  15. 84'C. Sielis (K. Krizmanic)
  16. 84'L. Dickmann (Borja Gonzalez Tejada)
  17. 84'A. Martino (A. Yordanov)
  18. 88'J. Eto'o
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CSKA SofiaOFI
1.3
Goals/game
1.0
1.3
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

CSKA Sofia win
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
OFI win
50%
48.8%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
31.7%CSKA Sofia clean sheet
28.7%OFI clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a challenging match for CSKA Sofia, particularly given their recent 3-0 loss to OFI. Meanwhile, OFI has shown strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches and averaging a solid xG of 1.4. Historically, CSKA Sofia has struggled defensively in head-to-head matchups against OFI, which may influence the outcome of this playoff.

  • CSKA Sofia lost 3-0 in their last meeting against OFI
  • OFI unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • CSKA Sofia averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
45/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors OFI

  • Historical edgeOFI

    OFI have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formOFI

    OFI are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Sharper attackCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked OFI at 50% — final result was OFI win, CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a low confidence pick (45/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

CSKA Sofia1.54market 65% · model 23.1%
Draw4.20market 23.8% · model 26.9%
OFI5.61market 17.8% · model 50%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CSKA Sofia have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • OFI have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0CSKA Sofia wins
0Draws
1OFI wins
0-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

CSKA Sofia1.54best 1.62
Draw4.20best 4.46
OFI5.61best 6.38

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78best 1.83
Under 2.52.02best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.84best 1.91
No1.87best 1.90

Double chance

CSKA Sofia/Draw1.13best 1.17
CSKA Sofia/OFI1.20best 1.24
Draw/OFI2.41best 2.68

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CSKA Sofia1.54 0.10
Draw4.20 0.08
OFI5.61 0.08
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

CSKA Sofia win-37.9pp
AI
23.1%
Market
61%
Draw+4.6pp
AI
26.9%
Market
22.3%
OFI win+33.3pp
AI
50%
Market
16.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CSKA Sofia

0-15'
27.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
36.4%
76-90+'
18.2%

OFI

0-15'
9.1%
16-30'
9.1%
31-45'
9.1%
46-60'
9.1%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
54.5%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CSKA Sofia vs OFI?+

Our AI model favors OFI to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 26.9%, CSKA Sofia 23.1%).

What time does CSKA Sofia vs OFI kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).