OFI vs CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
OFI
30Full-time
CSKA Sofia
DWWWGoals 9-12
WLWLGoals 13-12

Value found

+2.1% edge

OFI win

3.04AI fair odds
3.11Bookmaker odds
+2.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'Taxiarchis Fountas
  2. 51'Taxiarchis Fountas
  3. 54'S. Sensi
  4. 54'T. Ivanov
  5. 57'Pastor (M. Brahimi)
  6. 57'J. Eto'o (C. Itu)
  7. 64'S. Godoy (J. Zwarts)
  8. 66'Taxiarchis Fountas (Z. Karachalios)
  9. 66'A. Bouchalakis (L. Dickmann)
  10. 76'A. Yordanov (Leo Pereira)
  11. 76'T. Nuss (A. Leya)
  12. 77'T. Androutsos (G. Kanellópoulos)
  13. 78'M. Brahimi
  14. 81'M. Brahimi
  15. 88'Konstantinos Kostoulas (D. Nikolaou)
  16. 90+5'L. Dickmann (D. Nikolaou)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
OFICSKA Sofia
0.9
Goals/game
1.3
1.2
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

OFI win
32.85%
Draw
29.49%
CSKA Sofia win
37.65%
46.4%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
28.7%OFI clean sheet
35%CSKA Sofia clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests that CSKA Sofia heads into this match with a significantly stronger recent performance, evidenced by a dominant 5-0 victory recently. In contrast, OFI's inability to secure a win in their last five matches, with three draws and two losses, indicates fragility. The numbers favor CSKA Sofia, particularly given their higher scoring average in recent games.

  • CSKA Sofia won 5-0 in their last match.
  • OFI has not won in their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 2 losses.
  • CSKA Sofia has a stronger recent scoring average at 1.4 goals per game compared to OFI's 1.1.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
51/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CSKA Sofia

  • Strong recent formOFI

    OFI are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Poor recent formCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defenseCSKA Sofia

    CSKA Sofia are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CSKA Sofia at 37.65% — final result was OFI win, OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (51/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

CSKA Sofia2.32market 43% · model 37.65%
OFI3.11market 32.2% · model 32.85%
Draw3.11market 32.1% · model 29.49%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • OFI have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CSKA Sofia have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1OFI wins
0Draws
0CSKA Sofia wins
2-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

OFI3.11best 3.36
Draw3.11best 3.24
CSKA Sofia2.32best 2.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.15best 2.20
Under 2.51.68best 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes1.83best 1.91
No1.87best 1.94

Double chance

OFI/Draw1.55best 1.64
OFI/CSKA Sofia1.33best 1.37
Draw/CSKA Sofia1.35best 1.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

OFI3.11 0.70
Draw3.11 0.01
CSKA Sofia2.32 0.53
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

OFI win+2.9pp
AI
32.85%
Market
30%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
29.49%
Market
29.9%
CSKA Sofia win-2.5pp
AI
37.65%
Market
40.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

OFI

0-15'
9.1%
16-30'
9.1%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
54.5%

CSKA Sofia

0-15'
27.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
36.4%
76-90+'
18.2%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win OFI vs CSKA Sofia?+

Our AI model favors CSKA Sofia to win, with a 37.65% probability (Draw 29.49%, OFI 32.85%).

What time does OFI vs CSKA Sofia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).