Cuiaba vs Goias

Serie B· Regular Season - 24
Cuiaba
11Full-time
Goias
WDWWGoals 11-1112th in league
LWLLGoals 8-1111th in league
Home4W 7D 2L(11-9)
Away3W 5D 5L(13-17)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Vitor Mendes
  2. 17'Lucas Ribeiro
  3. 28'Jean Carlos (Anselmo Ramon)
  4. 42'Luisao
  5. 46'Wesley (Luiz Otavio)
  6. 46'Kadu (Marcos Vinicius)
  7. 46'Anselmo Ramon (Cadu)
  8. 46'Pepê (Kauan Cristtyan)
  9. 63'Eliel (Vinicius Peixoto)
  10. 63'Pedro Henrique (Fábio)
  11. 69'Lourenço (Juninho)
  12. 70'Jean Carlos (Luquinhas)
  13. 73'Fábio
  14. 73'Vinicius Peixoto
  15. 78'Lucas Lima (Wellington Rato)
  16. 82'Jean Dias (Weverson)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CuiabaGoias
1.1
Goals/game
0.8
1.1
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Cuiaba win
38%
Draw
35%
Goias win
27%
40.9%BTTS
33.7%Over 2.5
38.7%Cuiaba clean sheet
33.3%Goias clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely matched encounter between Cuiaba and Goias, as both teams sit close in the league standings with equal points. Cuiaba's recent home form indicates resilience, while Goias struggles with away performances, having lost their last three outings. The historical head-to-head matches reveal no clear dominance, which may lead to a low-scoring draw.

  • Cuiaba unbeaten in last 4 home games (W2 D2)
  • Goias has lost last 3 matches away from home
  • Recent head-to-head shows a tightly contested series with 2 draws in last 5 meetings
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cuiaba

  • Strong recent formCuiaba

    Cuiaba are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Poor recent formGoias

    Goias have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeGoias

    Goias have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Weak home recordCuiaba

    Cuiaba have won 4 of their last 13 home matches.

    4/13 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Cuiaba at 38% — final result was a draw, Cuiaba 1-1 Goias.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cuiaba2.39market 41.9% · model 38%
Draw2.69market 37.1% · model 35%
Goias3.47market 28.8% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cuiaba have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Goias have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Cuiaba wins
1Draws
5Goias wins
5-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cuiaba2.39best 2.50
Draw2.69best 2.90
Goias3.47best 3.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.18best 3.47
Under 2.51.33best 1.48

Both teams to score

Yes2.44best 2.55
No1.50best 1.67

Double chance

Cuiaba/Draw1.28best 1.31
Cuiaba/Goias1.41best 1.44
Draw/Goias1.54best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cuiaba2.39 0.14
Draw2.69 0.35
Goias3.47 0.13
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Cuiaba win-0.8pp
AI
38%
Market
38.8%
Draw+0.6pp
AI
35%
Market
34.4%
Goias win+0.3pp
AI
27%
Market
26.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Cuiaba
247125+333WWDD
11
Goias
24969-633LLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.8
1.1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

P. Zanovelli

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Cuiaba

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

Goias

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cuiaba vs Goias?+

Our AI model favors Cuiaba to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 35%, Goias 27%).

What time does Cuiaba vs Goias kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).