DC United vs New England Revolution

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 20
LDDLGoals 10-1911th in league
DLLDGoals 11-184th in league
Home3W 3D 4L(15-22)
Away2W 2D 5L(11-15)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 13'Brooklyn Raines
  2. 24'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
  3. 26'Andre Dozzell
  4. 32'Matt Polster
  5. 45'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
  6. 46'S. Nealis (B. Servania)
  7. 46'L. Munteanu (B. Servania)
  8. 46'J. Hopkins (N. Ordaz)
  9. 66'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
  10. 68'L. Munteanu (H. Kijima)
  11. 68'K. Nono (N. Markovic)
  12. 77'D. Turgeman (W. Harris)
  13. 84'Matt Polster (C. Baker)
  14. 84'Jack Harrison (M. Zambrano)
  15. 89'Carles Gil (J. Siqueira)
  16. 89'P. Miller (G. Yow)
  17. 90'Andre Dozzell (J. Stroud)

Lineups

DC UnitedNew England Revolution
1.0
Goals/game
1.1
1.9
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

DC United win
36.77%
Draw
26.87%
New England Revolution win
36.36%
58.5%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
22.3%DC United clean sheet
24.7%New England Revolution clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match between DC United and New England Revolution, with both teams struggling for form. DC United is currently on a streak of draws, while New England tends to falter away from home. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, indicating a potential for another close game.

  • DC United has drawn their last 3 matches.
  • New England Revolution has lost 5 out of their last 8 away games.
  • Historically, DC United has a mixed recent head-to-head record against New England Revolution.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors DC United

  • Weak home recordDC United

    DC United have won 3 of their last 10 home matches.

    3/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordNew England Revolution

    New England Revolution have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.

    2/9 away wins
  • Higher league positionNew England Revolution

    New England Revolution sit 7 places above DC United in the table.

    #4 vs #11
  • Poor recent formDC United

    DC United have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked DC United at 36.77% — final result was New England Revolution win, DC United 0-3 New England Revolution.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

DC United2.54market 39.4% · model 36.77%
New England Revolution2.60market 38.5% · model 36.36%
Draw3.51market 28.5% · model 26.87%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • DC United have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New England Revolution have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3DC United wins
1Draws
4New England Revolution wins
10-14Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

DC United2.54best 2.63
Draw3.51best 3.60
New England Revolution2.60best 2.66

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71best 1.75
Under 2.52.09best 2.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.58best 1.62
No2.26best 2.38

Double chance

DC United/Draw1.47best 1.50
DC United/New England Revolution1.27best 1.31
Draw/New England Revolution1.49best 1.54

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.83best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.88best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.23best 1.25

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

DC United2.54 0.54
Draw3.51 0.11
New England Revolution2.60 0.68
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

DC United win-0.2pp
AI
36.77%
Market
37%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
26.87%
Market
26.8%
New England Revolution win+0.2pp
AI
36.36%
Market
36.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
DC United
21597-824LDDW
4
New England Revolution
211047+734WLLD

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.1
1.9Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Fierro

5.11Yellow cards / game
0.56Red cards / game
0.22Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

DC United

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

New England Revolution

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win DC United vs New England Revolution?+

Our AI model favors DC United to win, with a 36.77% probability (Draw 26.87%, New England Revolution 36.36%).

What time does DC United vs New England Revolution kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).