DC United vs New England Revolution
Match events
- 13'Brooklyn Raines
- 24'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
- 26'Andre Dozzell
- 32'Matt Polster
- 45'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
- 46'S. Nealis (B. Servania)
- 46'L. Munteanu (B. Servania)
- 46'J. Hopkins (N. Ordaz)
- 66'A. Yusuf (Jack Harrison)
- 68'L. Munteanu (H. Kijima)
- 68'K. Nono (N. Markovic)
- 77'D. Turgeman (W. Harris)
- 84'Matt Polster (C. Baker)
- 84'Jack Harrison (M. Zambrano)
- 89'Carles Gil (J. Siqueira)
- 89'P. Miller (G. Yow)
- 90'Andre Dozzell (J. Stroud)
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a tightly contested match between DC United and New England Revolution, with both teams struggling for form. DC United is currently on a streak of draws, while New England tends to falter away from home. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, indicating a potential for another close game.
- DC United has drawn their last 3 matches.
- New England Revolution has lost 5 out of their last 8 away games.
- Historically, DC United has a mixed recent head-to-head record against New England Revolution.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors DC United
- Weak home recordDC United
DC United have won 3 of their last 10 home matches.
3/10 home wins - Weak away recordNew England Revolution
New England Revolution have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.
2/9 away wins - Higher league positionNew England Revolution
New England Revolution sit 7 places above DC United in the table.
#4 vs #11 - Poor recent formDC United
DC United have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked DC United at 36.77% — final result was New England Revolution win, DC United 0-3 New England Revolution.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- DC United have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New England Revolution have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 | LDDW | |
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 34 | WLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Fierro
Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
DC United
New England Revolution
More Major League Soccer predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win DC United vs New England Revolution?+
Our AI model favors DC United to win, with a 36.77% probability (Draw 26.87%, New England Revolution 36.36%).
What time does DC United vs New England Revolution kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

















