Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros — Primera A

Primera A· Clausura - 6

Deportivo Pasto

0–1Full-time

Llaneros

LLWLWLGoals 14-183rd in league

LLLLLDGoals 8-172nd in league

Home6W 2D 2L(14-8)

Away1W 2D 0L(3-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

28'J. Pertuz
33'Mateo Garavito
35'J. Contreras
42'F. Leys
46'F. Leys (Yeiler Góez)
46'J. Contreras (Jhon Vasquez)
62'F. Castaneda (Jhon Vasquez)
63'A. Ibargüen (Matías Pisano)
67'J. Pertuz
67'J. Pertuz
71'F. Castaneda (Luis Miranda)
71'Y. Mena (C. Cortes)
71'Juan Ramirez (Howell Mena)
74'Enrique Serje (Santiago Córdoba)
75'Nicolas Gil Uribe
83'J. Perlaza (P. Preciado)
87'Jhojan Escobar
89'Santiago Córdoba
90+1'Santiago Jiménez
90+3'Luis Miranda
90+3'C. Cortes
90+7'Yeiler Góez

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Deportivo PastoLlaneros

1.4
Goals/game: 0.8; 1.8
Conceded/game: 1.7

AI match analysis

Deportivo Pasto win

48.86%

Draw

29.59%

Llaneros win

21.55%

57.3%BTTS

54.2%Over 2.5

27.3%Deportivo Pasto clean sheet

21.2%Llaneros clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The statistics indicate a challenging matchup for Deportivo Pasto, who are struggling with five consecutive losses. While they have historically performed well against Llaneros, their current form may hinder their ability to secure a win. On the other hand, Llaneros shows some resilience with a recent draw and a capacity to score despite defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a potentially balanced contest.

Deportivo Pasto has lost their last 5 matches, impacting their morale and recent form significantly.
Llaneros has a modest away record but managed to draw their last match against Águilas Doradas.
Historically, Deportivo Pasto has a slight edge over Llaneros in head-to-head matches, winning 2 out of the last 3 encounters.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Deportivo Pasto

Higher league positionLlaneros
Llaneros sit 1 place above Deportivo Pasto in the table.
#2 vs #3
Poor recent formDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Poor recent formLlaneros
Llaneros have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Strong home recordDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto have won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
6/10 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Deportivo Pasto at 48.86% — final result was Llaneros win, Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Llaneros.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Pasto1.91market 52.2% · model 48.86%

Draw3.13market 32% · model 29.59%

Llaneros ✓4.23market 23.7% · model 21.55%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Deportivo Pasto have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Llaneros have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Deportivo Pasto wins

0Draws

1Llaneros wins

5-2Goals

Llaneros

2–1Aug 23, 2025, 1:10 AM

Deportivo Pasto

3–0Jun 2, 2025, 11:00 PM

Llaneros

Deportivo Pasto

1–0Mar 8, 2025, 11:20 PM

Llaneros

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Pasto1.91▼best 1.97

Draw3.13▼best 3.30

Llaneros4.23▲best 5.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.26best 2.34

Under 2.51.60best 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes1.98▲best 2.02

No1.73▼best 1.80

Double chance

Deportivo Pasto/Draw1.20▼best 1.24

Deportivo Pasto/Llaneros1.31best 1.36

Draw/Llaneros1.82▲best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57▼best 1.57

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.65▼best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Pasto1.91▼ 0.06

Draw3.13▼ 0.01

Llaneros4.23▲ 0.33

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Pasto win+0.5pp

48.86%

Market

48.4%

Draw0pp

29.59%

Market

29.6%

Llaneros win-0.3pp

21.55%

Market

21.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.