Deportivo Universitario vs Union Cocle — Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Liga Panameña de Fútbol· Apertura - 4

Deportivo Universitario

1–1Full-time

Union Cocle

DDLDLDGoals 6-1011th in league

LGoals 0-15th in league

Home2W 3D 3L(12-11)

Away2W 4D 2L(7-7)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

12'A. Cundumi (R. Rodriguez)
14'D. Edmund
22'D. Hunt
41'J. Gondola
45'J. Bernal
47'J. Nunez
57'E. Moreno (J. Lynch)
64'J. Nunez (A. Gallardo)
64'J. De la Espada (Y. Vasquez)
65'M. Carmona
69'J. Diaz
70'I. Anderson
73'J. Clarke (J. Gondola)
73'R. Herrera (A. De Los Rios)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Deportivo UniversitarioUnion Cocle

0.6
Goals/game: 0.0; 1.0
Conceded/game: 1.0

AI match analysis

Deportivo Universitario win

39.78%

Draw

31.2%

Union Cocle win

29.01%

21.7%BTTS

14.3%Over 2.5

60.7%Deportivo Universitario clean sheet

44.9%Union Cocle clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested matchup between these teams. Deportivo Universitario's tendency to draw recently, combined with Union Cocle's struggle to find the net, indicates a potential for a low-scoring game. With both teams having only one point from their opening matches, the stakes will be high, potentially leading to a cautious approach.

Deportivo Universitario has drawn three of their last five matches.
Union Cocle has lost their last match and has scored 0 goals in their most recent outing.
Both teams have yet to secure points in their home and away matches this season.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Deportivo Universitario

Poor recent formDeportivo Universitario
Deportivo Universitario have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Poor recent formUnion Cocle
Union Cocle have lost 1 of their last 1 matches.
0W 0D 1L
Sharper attackDeportivo Universitario
Deportivo Universitario are averaging 0.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game
Higher league positionUnion Cocle
Union Cocle sit 6 places above Deportivo Universitario in the table.
#5 vs #11

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Union Cocle has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Deportivo Universitario at 39.78% — final result was a draw, Deportivo Universitario 1-1 Union Cocle.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Deportivo Universitario2.30market 43.5% · model 39.78%

Draw ✓2.87market 34.8% · model 31.2%

Union Cocle3.00market 33.4% · model 29.01%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Deportivo Universitario have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Union Cocle have averaged 0 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Deportivo Universitario2.30▼best 2.55

Draw2.87▼best 3.10

Union Cocle3.00▲best 3.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.36best 2.50

Under 2.51.48best 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes1.98best 2.08

No1.66best 1.73

Double chance

Deportivo Universitario/Draw1.32▼best 1.35

Deportivo Universitario/Union Cocle1.30▲best 1.40

Draw/Union Cocle1.50▲best 1.57

Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Deportivo Universitario2.30▼ 0.26

Draw2.87▼ 0.06

Union Cocle3.00▲ 0.46

14 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Deportivo Universitario win+0.9pp

39.78%

Market

38.9%

Draw0pp

31.2%

Market

31.2%

Union Cocle win-0.9pp

29.01%

Market

29.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.