Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants
Value found
+9.1% edgeDoosan Bears win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Doosan Bears | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
 Lotte Giants | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-5
Data suggests that the Doosan Bears have a slight edge going into this matchup, primarily based on their home performance and historical success against the Lotte Giants. The Bears have been scoring well recently, averaging 5.4 runs with a solid allowance of 3.6 runs per game. In contrast, the Giants struggle on the road, contributing to a closer estimated win probability.
- Doosan Bears have a home win rate of 45% this season.
- Lotte Giants have a weak away win rate of 21% this season.
- In their last 10 games, the Bears averaged 5.4 runs scored while allowing 3.6 runs, indicating solid performance.
- Historically, in their last 5 matchups, the Bears have won 3 of 5 against the Giants.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Doosan Bears
- Tighter defenseDoosan Bears
Doosan Bears are conceding just 3.7 runs per game over their recent matches.
3.7/game conceded - Historical edgeDoosan Bears
Doosan Bears have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Strong home recordDoosan Bears
Doosan Bears have won 9 of their last 20 home matches.
9/20 home wins - Weak away recordLotte Giants
Lotte Giants have won 5 of their last 20 away matches.
5/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 51% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Doosan Bears at 51% — final result was Lotte Giants win, Doosan Bears 4-11 Lotte Giants.
Predicted score was 6-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Doosan Bears have averaged 5.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lotte Giants have averaged 7.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Doosan Bears are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Lotte Giants.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Doosan Bears | Lotte Giants |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.63▼ | 1.39▲ |
| -0.5 | 2.23▼ | 1.59▲ |
| +0.5 | 2.05▼ | 1.70▲ |
| +1 | 1.78▼ | 1.88▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.65▼ | 2.16▲ |
| +2 | 1.49▼ | 2.42▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.73▲ |
| +3 | 1.29▼ | 3.16▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.45▼ | 2.54▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.53▼ | 2.37▲ |
| 7 | 1.62▼ | 2.17▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.87▼ | 1.88▲ |
| 8 | 1.97▼ | 1.76▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.14▼ | 1.64▲ |
| 9 | 2.38▼ | 1.51▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.60▼ | 1.44▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Samsung Lions | 115 | 68 | 47 | +150 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  KT Wiz Suwon | 112 | 66 | 46 | +90 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  KIA Tigers | 115 | 63 | 52 | +80 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  LG Twins | 116 | 64 | 52 | +7 | 55 | — |
| 5 | Doosan Bears | 117 | 61 | 56 | +57 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  NC Dinos | 111 | 51 | 60 | -22 | 46 | — |
| 7 | Lotte Giants | 113 | 50 | 63 | -33 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Hanwha Eagles | 114 | 49 | 65 | +1 | 43 | — |
| 9 |  SSG Landers | 118 | 48 | 70 | -101 | 41 | — |
| 10 |  Kiwoom Heroes | 121 | 42 | 79 | -229 | 35 | — |
More KBO predictions
Kiwoom HeroesSSG LandersKT Wiz SuwonHanwha EaglesDoosan BearsLG TwinsNC DinosKIA TigersFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants?+
Our AI model favors Doosan Bears to win, with a 51% probability (Lotte Giants 49%).
What time does Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants?+
Doosan Bears: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1. Lotte Giants: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 5, 2. Final: 4-11.