Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants

KBO
WLLWRuns 44-385th · 60-56
LLLLRuns 74-687th · 50-63
Home8W 12L(80-104)
Away5W 15L(118-116)

Value found

+47.6% edge

Lotte Giants win

1.67AI fair odds
2.46Bookmaker odds
+47.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Doosan Bears
003000003111
Lotte Giants
000000010121

AI match analysis

Doosan Bears win
40%
Lotte Giants win
60%

Predicted score: 5-7

The numbers favor the Lotte Giants in this matchup, especially considering their recent strong performance, winning 6 of their last 10 games. In contrast, the Doosan Bears have struggled at home with only a 40% win rate this season. Historical results also support the Giants, as they recently won decisively against the Bears.

  • Lotte Giants won 6 of their last 10 games, showing stronger recent form.
  • Doosan Bears have a home win rate of only 40% this season.
  • Historically, Lotte Giants recently defeated Doosan Bears 11-4 in their last meeting.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
65/100

Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lotte Giants

  • Sharper attackLotte Giants

    Lotte Giants are averaging 7.4 runs scored per game over their recent matches.

    7.4/game
  • Higher league positionDoosan Bears

    Doosan Bears sit 2 places above Lotte Giants in the table.

    #5 vs #7
  • Good recent formDoosan Bears

    Doosan Bears have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formLotte Giants

    Lotte Giants have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Lotte Giants at 60% — final result was Doosan Bears win, Doosan Bears 3-1 Lotte Giants.

Predicted score was 5-7.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Doosan Bears1.51market 66% · model 40%
Lotte Giants2.46market 40.7% · model 60%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Doosan Bears have averaged 4.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Lotte Giants have averaged 7.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Doosan Bears are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Lotte Giants.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Doosan Bears1.51best 1.57AI 40%
Lotte Giants2.46best 2.57AI 60%

Point spread

LineDoosan BearsLotte Giants
-2.52.851.37
-22.501.46
-1.52.161.65
-11.771.89
-0.51.572.28
+0.51.482.52
+11.312.97
+1.51.283.33

Total points

LineOverUnder
5.51.472.50
61.542.30
6.51.722.05
71.901.79
7.52.151.63
82.411.49
8.52.551.46
92.921.31

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Doosan Bears1.51 0.01
Lotte Giants2.46 0.02
23 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Doosan Bears win-21.9pp
AI
40%
Market
61.9%
Lotte Giants win+21.9pp
AI
60%
Market
38.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Doosan Bears wins
3Lotte Giants wins
27-27Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Samsung Lions
1156847+15059
2
KT Wiz Suwon
1126646+9059
3
KIA Tigers
1156352+8055
4
LG Twins
1166452+755
5
Doosan Bears
1166056+4352
6
NC Dinos
1105060-2546
7
Lotte Giants
1135063-3344
8
Hanwha Eagles
1134964+443
9
SSG Landers
1184870-10141
10
Kiwoom Heroes
1204278-21535

More KBO predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants?+

Our AI model favors Lotte Giants to win, with a 60% probability (Doosan Bears 40%).

What time does Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants start?+

First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Doosan Bears vs Lotte Giants?+

Doosan Bears: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Lotte Giants: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 3-1.