Dorados vs Tlaxcala
Match events
- 17'Ismael Govea (Daniel Álvarez)
- 29'E. Santos (A. Sanchez)
- 38'A. Flores
- 39'Daniel Álvarez
- 45+4'A. Sanchez
- 46'A. Flores (Carlos Galicia)
- 46'A. Egaña (B. Sanchez)
- 46'D. Guajardo (Fernando González Peña)
- 56'Raúl Camacho (Christian)
- 56'Daniel Álvarez (Jesús Hernández)
- 56'Jesse Zamudio (B. Vázquez)
- 61'D. Osuna (M. Flores)
- 64'J. Rengifo (Francisco Contreras)
- 77'Francisco Figueroa (E. Hernandez)
- 80'Francisco Contreras (O. Coronel)
- 90+3'R. Franco
- 90+7'Carlos Galicia
- 90'O. Coronel (Fernando González Peña)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 2.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis indicates a closely contested matchup between Dorados and Tlaxcala. Historically, Tlaxcala has had the upper hand in their recent encounters, remaining unbeaten against Dorados in the last five matchups. Despite struggling this season, Dorados still exhibit a slight edge in goal difference, while Tlaxcala's recent form shows three consecutive losses. Given these factors, a draw seems plausible.
- Tlaxcala unbeaten in last 5 matchups against Dorados
- Dorados have only managed 1 draw in their last 5 games
- Tlaxcala has lost their last 3 matches in a row
- Dorados have a goal difference of +2 despite mixed recent form
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Dorados
- Tighter defenseTlaxcala
Tlaxcala are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionDorados
Dorados sit 3 places above Tlaxcala in the table.
#13 vs #16 - Poor recent formDorados
Dorados have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackTlaxcala
Tlaxcala are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Dorados at 36% — final result was a draw, Dorados 2-2 Tlaxcala.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dorados have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tlaxcala have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Tlaxcala
DoradosDoradosTlaxcalaTlaxcalaDoradosDoradosTlaxcalaTlaxcalaDoradosDoradosTlaxcalaDoradosTlaxcalaTlaxcalaDoradosOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Dorados
Tlaxcala
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DurangoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dorados vs Tlaxcala?+
Our AI model favors Dorados to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, Tlaxcala 36%).
What time does Dorados vs Tlaxcala kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).