Dordrecht vs Roda

Eerste Divisie· Regular Season - 3
Dordrecht
01Full-time
Roda
WLLDGoals 11-204th in league
LDLWGoals 13-116th in league
Away1W 0D 1L(1-1)
M-Scores Stadion

M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht · Capacity 4,235 · grass · Referee: N. Boel

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'Joshua Nisbet
  2. 46'N. Rossi (L. Roman)
  3. 46'B. Hardley (Jurre van Aken)
  4. 52'Koen Jansen
  5. 54'J. Mensah
  6. 58'A. van den Hurk
  7. 65'Beni Mpanzu (Lucas Woudenberg)
  8. 71'M. Paulissen (Jay Kruiver)
  9. 78'X. van den Berg (B. Marsman)
  10. 78'J. Mensah (Joey Sleegers)
  11. 78'A. Lechkar (R. van Asten)
  12. 82'Lucas Beerten
  13. 83'M. Vetkal
  14. 84'M. Vetkal (N. Felicia)
  15. 90+2'Joshua Nisbet (N. Maoujoudi)

Lineups

DordrechtRoda
1.1
Goals/game
1.3
2.0
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Dordrecht win
37%
Draw
27%
Roda win
36%
53.9%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
19.2%Dordrecht clean sheet
33.3%Roda clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Analysis of recent form suggests Dordrecht has a slight edge at home, with their solid performance against Waalwijk in their last appearance. Roda's struggle away from home, including a loss in their only away match this season, indicates potential vulnerabilities. Historical head-to-head matchups highlight a balanced rivalry, making a draw a plausible outcome.

  • Dordrecht unbeaten in last home match this season
  • Roda has a poor away record, losing their last away match
  • Recent head-to-head matches indicate competitive results, with mixed outcomes for both teams
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dordrecht

  • Strong away recordRoda

    Roda have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins
  • Tighter defenseRoda

    Roda are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionDordrecht

    Dordrecht sit 2 places above Roda in the table.

    #4 vs #6
  • Sharper attackRoda

    Roda are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Dordrecht at 37% — final result was Roda win, Dordrecht 0-1 Roda.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dordrecht2.50market 39.9% · model 37%
Roda2.55market 39.2% · model 36%
Draw3.43market 29.1% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dordrecht have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Roda have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Dordrecht wins
0Draws
4Roda wins
8-12Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dordrecht2.50best 2.60
Draw3.43best 3.70
Roda2.55best 2.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67best 1.73
Under 2.52.14best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.52best 1.57
No2.35best 2.45

Double chance

Dordrecht/Draw1.47best 1.52
Dordrecht/Roda1.28best 1.30
Draw/Roda1.48best 1.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dordrecht2.50 0.01
Draw3.43 0.07
Roda2.55 0.05
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Dordrecht win+0.1pp
AI
37%
Market
36.9%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
27%
Market
26.9%
Roda win-0.2pp
AI
36%
Market
36.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Dordrecht
000000
6
Roda
3201+16WWL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.3
2Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

N. Boel

2.33Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Dordrecht

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Roda

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Eerste Divisie predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dordrecht vs Roda?+

Our AI model favors Dordrecht to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, Roda 36%).

Where is Dordrecht vs Roda played?+

The match is played at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht (capacity 4,235).

What time does Dordrecht vs Roda kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).