Dordrecht vs Roda

M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht · Capacity 4,235 · grass · Referee: N. Boel
Match events
- 23'Joshua Nisbet
- 46'N. Rossi (L. Roman)
- 46'B. Hardley (Jurre van Aken)
- 52'Koen Jansen
- 54'J. Mensah
- 58'A. van den Hurk
- 65'Beni Mpanzu (Lucas Woudenberg)
- 71'M. Paulissen (Jay Kruiver)
- 78'X. van den Berg (B. Marsman)
- 78'J. Mensah (Joey Sleegers)
- 78'A. Lechkar (R. van Asten)
- 82'Lucas Beerten
- 83'M. Vetkal
- 84'M. Vetkal (N. Felicia)
- 90+2'Joshua Nisbet (N. Maoujoudi)
Lineups
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Analysis of recent form suggests Dordrecht has a slight edge at home, with their solid performance against Waalwijk in their last appearance. Roda's struggle away from home, including a loss in their only away match this season, indicates potential vulnerabilities. Historical head-to-head matchups highlight a balanced rivalry, making a draw a plausible outcome.
- Dordrecht unbeaten in last home match this season
- Roda has a poor away record, losing their last away match
- Recent head-to-head matches indicate competitive results, with mixed outcomes for both teams
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Dordrecht
- Strong away recordRoda
Roda have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Tighter defenseRoda
Roda are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionDordrecht
Dordrecht sit 2 places above Roda in the table.
#4 vs #6 - Sharper attackRoda
Roda are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Dordrecht at 37% — final result was Roda win, Dordrecht 0-1 Roda.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Dordrecht have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Roda have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
N. Boel
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Dordrecht
Roda
More Eerste Divisie predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Dordrecht vs Roda?+
Our AI model favors Dordrecht to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 27%, Roda 36%).
Where is Dordrecht vs Roda played?+
The match is played at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht (capacity 4,235).
What time does Dordrecht vs Roda kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).









