Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. — Premier Division

Premier Division· Regular Season - 28

Drogheda United

0–2Full-time

St Patrick's Athl.

LLWDLWGoals 11-139th in league

DDDDWWGoals 14-82nd in league

Home3W 6D 5L(14-18)

Away5W 5D 4L(16-15)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

17'A. Olusanya (Aidan Keena)
38'C. Keeley
46'J. Bucknor (Andrew Quinn)
61'James Brown (Z. Elbouzedi)
64'T. Oluwya
68'T. Oluwya (K. Ancelin)
69'W. Davis (M. Doyle)
73'Aidan Keena (R. Edmondson)
74'Ryan Brennan (B. Kavanagh)
75'C. Forrester (Romal Palmer)
75'C. Forrester (Barry Baggley)
77'A. Bates (J. Godden)
88'A. Olusanya (R. Sheridan)
90+2'Barry Baggley (R. Sheridan)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.

1.1
Goals/game: 1.4; 1.3
Conceded/game: 0.8

AI match analysis

Drogheda United win

18%

Draw

25%

St Patrick's Athl. win

57%

45.4%BTTS

40.4%Over 2.5

25.9%Drogheda United clean sheet

38.7%St Patrick's Athl. clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a significant advantage for St Patrick's Athl. as they seek to maintain their position near the top of the table against a struggling Drogheda United. St Patrick's is unbeaten in their recent form and has demonstrated a solid defensive record, while Drogheda has struggled defensively, conceding over a goal per game. Historically, St Patrick's has had the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, reflected by their previous matches.

St Patrick's Athl. unbeaten in last 5 matches (WDDDW)
Drogheda United's recent home form includes 4 losses in last 7 home games
Drogheda United has the highest goals conceded rate in their recent 10 matches (1.3 per game)
St Patrick's Athl. has a strong average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last 10 matches.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors St Patrick's Athl.

Higher league positionSt Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. sit 7 places above Drogheda United in the table.
#2 vs #9
Tighter defenseSt Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Strong recent formSt Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 3D 0L
Weak home recordDrogheda United
Drogheda United have won 3 of their last 14 home matches.
3/14 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked St Patrick's Athl. at 57% — final result was St Patrick's Athl. win, Drogheda United 0-2 St Patrick's Athl..

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

St Patrick's Athl. ✓1.65market 60.6% · model 57%

Draw3.65market 27.4% · model 25%

Drogheda United4.97market 20.1% · model 18%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Drogheda United have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
St Patrick's Athl. have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Drogheda United wins

3Draws

3St Patrick's Athl. wins

5-9Goals

Drogheda United

0–1Aug 22, 2025, 6:45 PM

St Patrick's Athl.

0–0Jun 13, 2025, 6:45 PM

Drogheda United

0–0Apr 21, 2025, 4:00 PM

St Patrick's Athl.

0–0Feb 14, 2025, 7:45 PM

Drogheda United

St Patrick's Athl.

1–2Sep 25, 2023, 6:45 PM

Drogheda United

2–1Jun 9, 2023, 6:45 PM

St Patrick's Athl.

3–0May 12, 2023, 6:45 PM

Drogheda United

1–3Apr 10, 2023, 6:45 PM

St Patrick's Athl.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Drogheda United4.97▲best 5.50

Draw3.65▲best 3.88

St Patrick's Athl.1.65▼best 1.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.91▼best 1.98

Under 2.51.83best 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.86best 1.91

No1.84best 1.91

Double chance

Drogheda United/Draw2.15▲best 2.30

Drogheda United/St Patrick's Athl.1.24▼best 1.28

Draw/St Patrick's Athl.1.15▼best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00best 5.00

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Drogheda United4.97▲ 0.19

Draw3.64▼ 0.01

St Patrick's Athl.1.65▼ 0.01

18 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Drogheda United win-0.6pp

18%

Market

18.6%

Draw-0.4pp

25%

Market

25.4%

St Patrick's Athl. win+0.9pp

57%

Market

56.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.