Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers

Championship· Regular Season - 4
LDLLGoals 7-108th in league
LWWWGoals 19-122nd in league
Home0W 1D 0L(1-1)
Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
0.7
Goals/game
1.9
1.0
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Dunfermline win
36.34%
Draw
27.73%
Raith Rovers win
35.93%
46.9%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
23.5%Dunfermline clean sheet
38.7%Raith Rovers clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests an evenly matched encounter as both teams possess strengths and weaknesses. Raith Rovers currently have the advantage in terms of form and standing, while Dunfermline struggles to secure wins. Historically, Dunfermline has performed well in their last encounters against Raith Rovers, yet their recent form may hinder that trend. The numbers point towards a potentially tight matchup with a predicted scoreline reflecting a draw.

  • Raith Rovers ranked 2nd with 7 points from 3 matches
  • Dunfermline's last 5 matches include 3 losses
  • Dunfermline has averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game in last 10 matches
  • Raith Rovers won their last 3 matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per match
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Dunfermline

  • Weak home recordDunfermline

    Dunfermline have won 0 of their last 1 home matches.

    0/1 home wins
  • Strong away recordRaith Rovers

    Raith Rovers have won 1 of their last 1 away matches.

    1/1 away wins
  • Poor recent formDunfermline

    Dunfermline have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Good recent formRaith Rovers

    Raith Rovers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

Match trends

  • Dunfermline have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Raith Rovers have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Dunfermline wins
0Draws
3Raith Rovers wins
12-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dunfermline2.47best 2.61
Draw3.29best 3.42
Raith Rovers2.58best 2.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.89best 2.03
Under 2.51.84best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.70best 1.80
No2.03best 2.15

Double chance

Dunfermline/Draw1.43best 1.50
Dunfermline/Raith Rovers1.28best 1.33
Draw/Raith Rovers1.46best 1.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dunfermline2.47 0.04
Draw3.29 0.02
Raith Rovers2.58 0.08
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Dunfermline win-0.7pp
AI
36.34%
Market
37%
Draw0pp
AI
27.73%
Market
27.7%
Raith Rovers win+0.6pp
AI
35.93%
Market
35.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Dunfermline
3021-22LDD
2
Raith Rovers
3210+37WWD

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.9
1Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dunfermline

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Raith Rovers

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?+

Our AI model favors Dunfermline to win, with a 36.34% probability (Draw 27.73%, Raith Rovers 35.93%).

What time does Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).