Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom
Value found
+1.2% edgeEgnatia Rrogozhinë win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 5'R. Gabrielsen (Y. Ibrahimaj)
- 56'Fernando
- 60'Lars Ranger
- 67'D. Adjessa (J. Montenegro)
- 67'Kevin Martin Krygard (H. Melland)
- 72'I. Gruda (A. Kryeziu)
- 72'A. Aleksi (I. Diabate)
- 80'F. Gulbrandsen (S. Akanji)
- 81'Y. Paintsil (E. Kitolano)
- 90+1'Fernando (N. Ajetovikj)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Egnatia Rrogozhinë is in relatively strong form, managing four wins in their last five outings, albeit with mixed overall defensive records. Conversely, Lillestrom has struggled significantly, with five consecutive losses and a concerning average of 0.9 goals scored per match. This disparity in form likely favors Egnatia, but the numbers also indicate potential vulnerabilities that could allow Lillestrom to capitalize.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë has won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Lillestrom has lost 5 of their last 5 matches
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë averages 1.56 goals scored per match
- Lillestrom averages only 0.9 goals scored per match
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lillestrom
- Good recent formEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formLillestrom
Lillestrom have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game - Tighter defenseEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lillestrom at 44% — final result was a draw, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (58/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lillestrom have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom?+
Our AI model favors Lillestrom to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 26%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%).
What time does Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).