Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

UEFA Europa League· Play-offs
Lillestrom
21After Extra Time
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
LLDDGoals 9-20
LWDWGoals 16-14
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'R. Gabrielsen (S. Kristiansen)
  2. 25'G. Nyheim
  3. 33'E. Sota (Fernando)
  4. 45'F. Gulbrandsen
  5. 46'E. Ndreca
  6. 54'E. Ndreca (A. Yago)
  7. 67'Y. Paintsil (L. Alperud)
  8. 77'K. Loukili (A. Kryeziu)
  9. 77'D. Adjessa (J. Montenegro)
  10. 81'E. Sota
  11. 82'S. Foss (Y. Ibrahimaj)
  12. 90'I. Gruda (I. Diabate)
  13. 90'F. Gulbrandsen (T. Olsen)
  14. 90'L. Alperud (S. Akanji)
  15. 94'T. Olsen (S. Akanji)
  16. 99'E. Sota (Z. Aliyev)
  17. 100'E. Kitolano (H. Melland)
  18. 100'A. Aleksi (N. Ajetovikj)
  19. 120'H. Melland

Lineups

LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
0.9
Goals/game
1.6
2.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Lillestrom win
66.69%
Draw
20.32%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
12.99%
57%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
16.5%Lillestrom clean sheet
31.7%Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Lillestrom's lack of wins in recent matches may hinder their performance, especially against an Egnatia Rrogozhinë side that is currently unbeaten. Despite a head-to-head history that shows no goals scored when they met recently, Egnatia's form, highlighted by their string of results including three wins in their last five matches, may give them an edge. Statistically, Lillestrom's defensive issues contribute to a challenging atmosphere for home advantage.

  • Lillestrom has not won any of their last 5 matches, with 3 losses and 2 draws.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins and 1 draw.
  • In their last head-to-head match, Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë drew 0-0.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Lillestrom

  • Poor recent formLillestrom

    Lillestrom have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Good recent formEgnatia Rrogozhinë

    Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackEgnatia Rrogozhinë

    Egnatia Rrogozhinë are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Tighter defenseEgnatia Rrogozhinë

    Egnatia Rrogozhinë are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Lillestrom at 66.69% — final result was Lillestrom win, Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Lillestrom1.44market 69.6% · model 66.69%
Draw4.38market 22.9% · model 20.32%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë6.81market 14.7% · model 12.99%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Lillestrom have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Lillestrom wins
1Draws
0Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins
0-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Lillestrom1.44best 1.49
Draw4.38best 4.75
Egnatia Rrogozhinë6.81best 7.78

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78best 1.85
Under 2.52.00best 2.07

Both teams to score

Yes1.95best 2.10
No1.77best 1.85

Double chance

Lillestrom/Draw1.10best 1.13
Lillestrom/Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.18best 1.22
Draw/Egnatia Rrogozhinë2.69best 2.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Lillestrom1.44 0.04
Draw4.38 0.24
Egnatia Rrogozhinë6.81 0.90
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Lillestrom win+1.7pp
AI
66.69%
Market
65%
Draw-1pp
AI
20.32%
Market
21.3%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë win-0.7pp
AI
12.99%
Market
13.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.6
2Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Lillestrom

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

0-15'
23.1%
16-30'
23.1%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
7.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
30.8%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?+

Our AI model favors Lillestrom to win, with a 66.69% probability (Draw 20.32%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 12.99%).

What time does Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).