Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central

Copa Argentina· Round of 16
DWWLGoals 13-8
LLLLGoals 8-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'Goal Disallowed - Foul — B. Rodriguez
  2. 23'B. Rodriguez (J. Burgos)
  3. 29'F. Bruera
  4. 29'N. Demartini
  5. 40'K. Jappert
  6. 43'D. Miloc
  7. 45+4'F. Bruera
  8. 45+4'B. Rodriguez
  9. 46'D. Martinez (G. Maroni)
  10. 51'B. Rodriguez (J. Burgos)
  11. 62'M. Mino
  12. 64'G. Carrillo
  13. 66'D. Miloc (E. Rolon)
  14. 66'K. Jappert (R. Barrios)
  15. 67'B. Rodriguez (A. Castro)
  16. 72'J. Burgos (E. Cetre)
  17. 72'G. Benedetti (L. Gonzalez Pirez)
  18. 75'F. Bruera (N. Orsini)
  19. 76'S. Nunez
  20. 76'Y. Rak
  21. 82'Joaquín Correa (E. Meza)
  22. 82'L. Piovi (B. Kociubinski)
  23. 82'Y. Rak (N. Capraro)
  24. 84'N. Briasco
  25. 84'L. Gonzalez Pirez
  26. 85'F. Muslera
  27. 88'G. Carrillo (E. Meza)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Estudiantes L.P.Barracas Central
1.3
Goals/game
0.8
0.8
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Estudiantes L.P. win
48.58%
Draw
32.79%
Barracas Central win
18.63%
40.1%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
44.9%Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet
27.3%Barracas Central clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup between Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central, with Estudiantes showing a slightly better recent scoring average. Barracas Central's struggles in recent matches, where they've only scored 0.8 goals per game in their last 10, could hinder their chances. Historically, Estudiantes has had the upper hand with a favorable record in their last five head-to-head clashes.

  • Estudiantes L.P. scored 1.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Barracas Central has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Historically, Estudiantes L.P. won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Barracas Central
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Estudiantes L.P.

  • Poor recent formBarracas Central

    Barracas Central have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Sharper attackEstudiantes L.P.

    Estudiantes L.P. are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defenseEstudiantes L.P.

    Estudiantes L.P. are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeEstudiantes L.P.

    Estudiantes L.P. have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    3/6 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Estudiantes L.P. at 48.58% — final result was Estudiantes L.P. win, Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 Barracas Central.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Estudiantes L.P.1.90market 52.7% · model 48.58%
Draw2.98market 33.6% · model 32.79%
Barracas Central4.80market 20.8% · model 18.63%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Estudiantes L.P. have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Barracas Central have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Estudiantes L.P. wins
2Draws
1Barracas Central wins
17-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Estudiantes L.P.1.90best 2.02
Draw2.98best 3.25
Barracas Central4.80best 5.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.86best 3.00
Under 2.51.39best 1.46

Both teams to score

Yes2.41best 2.50
No1.51best 1.57

Double chance

Estudiantes L.P./Draw1.16best 1.22
Estudiantes L.P./Barracas Central1.34best 1.40
Draw/Barracas Central1.87best 2.11

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Estudiantes L.P.1.90 0.02
Draw2.98 0.31
Barracas Central4.80 0.72
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Estudiantes L.P. win-0.6pp
AI
48.58%
Market
49.2%
Draw+1.4pp
AI
32.79%
Market
31.4%
Barracas Central win-0.8pp
AI
18.63%
Market
19.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game0.8
0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Estudiantes L.P.

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
33.3%

Barracas Central

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Copa Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central?+

Our AI model favors Estudiantes L.P. to win, with a 48.58% probability (Draw 32.79%, Barracas Central 18.63%).

What time does Estudiantes L.P. vs Barracas Central kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).