FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC
Match events
- 11'K. Mboma (K. Denkey)
- 21'Luighi (Agustin Ojeda)
- 33'Matthew Miazga
- 36'Keaton Parks
- 50'O. Nwobodo
- 55'Luighi
- 60'Matthew Miazga (Teenage Hadebe)
- 60'E. Echenique (B. J. Ramirez Leon)
- 64'Luighi (S. Reid)
- 64'Bénie Traoré (Malachi Jones)
- 72'O. Nwobodo (S. Gidi)
- 72'K. Denkey (T. Barlow)
- 74'M. Robinson
- 74'Nicolás Fernández
- 75'Keaton Parks (J. Shore)
- 75'K. O'Toole (N. Cavallo)
- 82'Agustin Ojeda (Talles Magno)
- 82'S. Gidi
- 83'K. Smith (B. Anunga)
- 90+1'Evander (Gerardo Valenzuela)
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The analysis indicates that FC Cincinnati has an edge at home, having secured victories in 6 of their 9 home matches this season, alongside an unbeaten streak in their last 5 at home. In contrast, New York City FC has struggled on the road, losing 4 of their recent matches, suggesting they may find it tough against a resilient Cincinnati side.
- FC Cincinnati unbeaten in last 5 home games.
- New York City FC has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches show FC Cincinnati's mixed results against NYCFC.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Cincinnati
- Poor recent formNew York City FC
New York City FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Strong home recordFC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati have won 7 of their last 11 home matches.
7/11 home wins - Weak away recordNew York City FC
New York City FC have won 3 of their last 10 away matches.
3/10 away wins - Historical edgeNew York City FC
New York City FC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Cincinnati at 51% — final result was FC Cincinnati win, FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Cincinnati have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York City FC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
FC Cincinnati
New York City FCNew York City FCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew York City FCNew York City FCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew York City FCNew York City FCFC CincinnatiFC CincinnatiNew York City FCFC CincinnatiNew York City FCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 31 | WDWL |
| 7 | New York City FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 | LLDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
F. Bazakos
Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
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CharlotteFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?+
Our AI model favors FC Cincinnati to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 23%, New York City FC 26%).
What time does FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).