FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders

Major League Soccer· Regular Season - 21
WLDWGoals 13-136th in league
WLLLGoals 16-1213th in league
Home7W 2D 2L(31-21)
Away3W 3D 5L(8-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 24'Evander
  2. 38'R. Sailor
  3. 59'K. Mboma (K. Denkey)
  4. 61'S. Brunell (D. Musovski)
  5. 61'E. Carli (Nouhou Tolo)
  6. 64'B. J. Ramirez Leon
  7. 73'T. Barlow (Ayoub Jabbari)
  8. 73'B. J. Ramirez Leon (P. Bucha)
  9. 75'P. Kingston
  10. 77'A. Lopez (Albert Rusnák)
  11. 77'Osaze De Rosario (A. Roldan)
  12. 83'K. Kossa-Rienzi (Albert Rusnák)
  13. 89'E. Echenique (Alvas Powell)
  14. 90+1'S. Gomez (Kee Hee Kim)
  15. 90'B. Anunga (O. Nwobodo)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC CincinnatiSeattle Sounders
1.3
Goals/game
1.6
1.3
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

FC Cincinnati win
55%
Draw
22%
Seattle Sounders win
23%
54.6%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
23.5%FC Cincinnati clean sheet
28.7%Seattle Sounders clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that FC Cincinnati holds a significant advantage going into this match, especially with an unbeaten streak at home in their last five games. Conversely, Seattle Sounders are struggling with a five-match losing streak, which may hinder their performance. The last few encounters show mixed results, but Cincinnati's current form and home record favor their chances of winning.

  • FC Cincinnati unbeaten in last 5 home matches
  • Seattle Sounders on a 5-match losing streak
  • FC Cincinnati has a strong home record of 7 wins in 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Cincinnati

  • Higher league positionFC Cincinnati

    FC Cincinnati sit 7 places above Seattle Sounders in the table.

    #6 vs #13
  • Poor recent formSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Strong home recordFC Cincinnati

    FC Cincinnati have won 7 of their last 11 home matches.

    7/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordSeattle Sounders

    Seattle Sounders have won 3 of their last 11 away matches.

    3/11 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FC Cincinnati at 55% — final result was a draw, FC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle Sounders.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Cincinnati1.73market 58% · model 55%
Seattle Sounders4.01market 25% · model 23%
Draw4.29market 23.3% · model 22%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Cincinnati have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1FC Cincinnati wins
1Draws
1Seattle Sounders wins
3-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Cincinnati1.73best 1.84
Draw4.29best 4.44
Seattle Sounders4.01best 4.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.36best 1.39
Under 2.53.07best 3.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.39best 1.40
No2.83best 2.88

Double chance

FC Cincinnati/Draw1.22best 1.28
FC Cincinnati/Seattle Sounders1.19best 1.22
Draw/Seattle Sounders2.11best 2.30

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.23best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.13best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.77best 3.80

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Cincinnati1.73 0.11
Draw4.29 0.36
Seattle Sounders4.01 0.46
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

FC Cincinnati win+0.4pp
AI
55%
Market
54.6%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
22%
Market
21.9%
Seattle Sounders win-0.5pp
AI
23%
Market
23.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
FC Cincinnati
21876+231WDWL
13
Seattle Sounders
20749-525LLLL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

FC Cincinnati

0-15'
25%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

Seattle Sounders

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

More Major League Soccer predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?+

Our AI model favors FC Cincinnati to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 22%, Seattle Sounders 23%).

What time does FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).