FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 24
DWWWGoals 30-81st in league
LWDWGoals 15-1610th in league
Home7W 3D 1L(32-7)
Away1W 1D 10L(4-35)
A. Le Coq Arena

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · Capacity 14,405 · grass · Referee: J. Jakobson

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 17'M. Ainsalu
  2. 29'M. Ainsalu (M. Skvortsov)
  3. 46'G. Lehtmets (N. Kutateladze)
  4. 46'J. Doke (A. Gero)
  5. 46'F. Liivak (Alexandre)
  6. 53'Joao Pedro
  7. 56'Wendell
  8. 60'M. Velijev (J. Imeh)
  9. 60'S. Agaptsev (G. Šlein)
  10. 67'N. Kutateladze
  11. 68'A. Ivanjušin (A. Škinjov)
  12. 70'Joao Pedro
  13. 72'Joao Pedro (E. Otoo)
  14. 72'Wendell (M. Bessala)
  15. 73'T. Berardozzi (A. Besigirskis)
  16. 84'G. Šlein
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC Levadia TallinnTrans Narva
3.0
Goals/game
1.5
0.8
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn win
82.79%
Draw
10.68%
Trans Narva win
6.53%
61.5%BTTS
67%Over 2.5
31.7%FC Levadia Tallinn clean sheet
10%Trans Narva clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-0

Data suggests that FC Levadia Tallinn is in strong form, having won four out of their last five matches, with a notable home record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss this season. In contrast, Trans Narva struggles with only 1 away win and a poor defensive record, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches.

  • FC Levadia Tallinn unbeaten in last 5 home games
  • Trans Narva has only 1 away win this season
  • FC Levadia Tallinn has a significant positive goal difference of +39
  • Head-to-head record shows FC Levadia Tallinn dominating recent encounters against Trans Narva.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Levadia Tallinn

  • Historical edgeFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Strong home recordFC Levadia Tallinn

    FC Levadia Tallinn have won 7 of their last 11 home matches.

    7/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordTrans Narva

    Trans Narva have won 1 of their last 12 away matches.

    1/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Levadia Tallinn at 82.79% — final result was FC Levadia Tallinn win, FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 Trans Narva.

Predicted score was 3-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Levadia Tallinn1.11market 90% · model 82.79%
Draw7.60market 13.2% · model 10.68%
Trans Narva14.09market 7.1% · model 6.53%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Levadia Tallinn have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Trans Narva have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

7FC Levadia Tallinn wins
1Draws
0Trans Narva wins
20-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Levadia Tallinn1.11best 1.15
Draw7.60best 9.00
Trans Narva14.09best 17.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.24best 1.33
Under 2.53.42best 4.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.83best 1.95
No1.82best 1.91

Double chance

FC Levadia Tallinn/Draw1.02best 1.03
FC Levadia Tallinn/Trans Narva1.05best 1.08
Draw/Trans Narva4.97best 6.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.02best 1.02
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.50best 10.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Levadia Tallinn1.11 0.05
Draw7.60 1.15
Trans Narva14.09 1.99
18 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

FC Levadia Tallinn win+1.2pp
AI
82.79%
Market
81.6%
Draw-1.2pp
AI
10.68%
Market
11.9%
Trans Narva win+0.1pp
AI
6.53%
Market
6.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
231751+4356WWDW
10
Trans Narva
245217-3717DLWW

Pre-match comparison

3Goals scored per game1.5
0.8Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Jakobson

4.86Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.14Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Levadia Tallinn

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
60%
76-90+'
20%

Trans Narva

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
11.1%

More Meistriliiga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva?+

Our AI model favors FC Levadia Tallinn to win, with a 82.79% probability (Draw 10.68%, Trans Narva 6.53%).

Where is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva played?+

The match is played at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn (capacity 14,405).

What time does FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).