FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Value found
+9.9% edgeMaccabi Tel Aviv win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 31'Kevin Behrens (Yanis Cimignani)
- 47'I. Shahar (R. Revivo)
- 54'Anto Grgić
- 57'Tyrese Asante (N. Ben Harush)
- 57'E. Sokler (Saied Abu Farchi)
- 71'Daniel Dos Santos Correia (Martim Marques)
- 71'Kevin Behrens (D. Moncada)
- 81'Renato Steffen (Elias Pihlström)
- 89'Yanis Cimignani (Ahmed Kendouci)
- 2.8
- Goals/game
- 2.3
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that FC Lugano, with a strong scoring average of 2.8 goals over their last 10 matches, has a favorable position going into this matchup. Despite Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent victory, their higher rate of conceding goals (1.4 per game) may impact their performance away from home. The numbers indicate that while Lugano is in solid form, Maccabi's inconsistency could influence the outcome.
- FC Lugano averages 2.8 goals scored per match over their last 10
- Maccabi Tel Aviv has conceded 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- FC Lugano is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with 4 wins
- Maccabi Tel Aviv has lost 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating inconsistent form
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Lugano
- Strong recent formFC Lugano
FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Strong recent formMaccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Sharper attackFC Lugano
FC Lugano are averaging 2.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game - Tighter defenseFC Lugano
FC Lugano are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Lugano at 46% — final result was FC Lugano win, FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Lugano have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?+
Our AI model favors FC Lugano to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 26%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 28%).
What time does FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).