Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano
Match events
- 27'Antonios Papadopoulos
- 36'Mattia Zanotti
- 58'Mattia Zanotti
- 58'Mattia Zanotti
- 63'Kevin Behrens (D. Moncada)
- 63'Daniel Dos Santos Correia (D. Kelvin)
- 65'E. Sokler (Elad Madmon)
- 65'Tyrese Asante (N. Ben Harush)
- 68'Renato Steffen
- 68'Dor Peretz
- 70'Mohamed Camara
- 79'D. Moncada (Yanis Cimignani)
- 81'I. Shahar (Hisham Layous)
- 82'Renato Steffen (B. Karimov)
- 82'Antonios Papadopoulos (Ahmed Kendouci)
- 90+2'Uran Bislimi
Lineups
- 2.3
- Goals/game
- 2.9
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-2
Data suggests a competitive matchup with both teams having strong scoring averages; Maccabi Tel Aviv scored an average of 2.3 goals, while FC Lugano scored 2.9 in their recent form. FC Lugano's victory in the last encounter against Maccabi Tel Aviv bolsters their confidence, contributing to a predicted scoreline that reflects the attacking prowess of both sides.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv averaged 2.3 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- FC Lugano averaged 2.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- FC Lugano won the last head-to-head match 2-1 against Maccabi Tel Aviv
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Historical edgeFC Lugano
FC Lugano have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Good recent formMaccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Strong recent formFC Lugano
FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Sharper attackFC Lugano
FC Lugano are averaging 2.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Maccabi Tel Aviv at 39.84% — final result was a draw, Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 FC Lugano.
Predicted score was 2-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Lugano have averaged 2.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Schlager
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FC Lugano
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano?+
Our AI model favors Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, with a 39.84% probability (Draw 25.07%, FC Lugano 35.08%).
What time does Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).