FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
WDWWGoals 17-11
DLWLGoals 13-10
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'Cho Gue-Sung (Franculino Djú)
  2. 36'I. Cubelic
  3. 46'Franculino Djú (S. Iheanacho)
  4. 46'Valdemar Byskov (S. Johannesen)
  5. 49'S. Johannesen (S. Iheanacho)
  6. 50'T. Fruk
  7. 59'Denil Castillo (K. Watjen)
  8. 60'S. Johannesen
  9. 67'Tiago Dantas (J. Puljic)
  10. 74'Philip Billing (Edward Chilufya)
  11. 74'Cho Gue-Sung (Friday Etim)
  12. 74'N. Jankovic (Y. Kabadayi)
  13. 74'I. Cubelic (A. Gojak)
  14. 87'T. Fruk (J. Lasickas)
  15. 87'D. Adu Adjei (Ante Matej Jurić)
  16. 89'Alfonso Barco
  17. 89'Darío Osorio (Adam Gabriel)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC MidtjyllandHNK Rijeka
1.7
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

FC Midtjylland win
64%
Draw
21%
HNK Rijeka win
15%
51.8%BTTS
46.9%Over 2.5
30.1%FC Midtjylland clean sheet
25.9%HNK Rijeka clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that FC Midtjylland holds the advantage going into this matchup, with a higher scoring average compared to HNK Rijeka. Historically, their recent performances indicate stronger goal-scoring capabilities, particularly at home, which may play a crucial role in this playoff encounter.

  • FC Midtjylland has scored an average of 1.6 goals in their last 10 matches.
  • HNK Rijeka has only scored 1.1 goals per game on average in their last 10 matches.
  • FC Midtjylland is coming off a solid home win against Bohemians.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Midtjylland

  • Sharper attackFC Midtjylland

    FC Midtjylland are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseHNK Rijeka

    HNK Rijeka are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Midtjylland at 64% — final result was FC Midtjylland win, FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Midtjylland1.49market 66.9% · model 64%
Draw4.06market 24.7% · model 21%
HNK Rijeka6.14market 16.3% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Midtjylland have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • HNK Rijeka have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1FC Midtjylland wins
0Draws
0HNK Rijeka wins
4-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Midtjylland1.49best 1.54
Draw4.06best 4.35
HNK Rijeka6.14best 6.63

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.93best 2.00
Under 2.51.84best 1.90

Both teams to score

Yes2.03best 2.20
No1.70best 1.77

Double chance

FC Midtjylland/Draw1.10best 1.14
FC Midtjylland/HNK Rijeka1.19best 1.23
Draw/HNK Rijeka2.48best 2.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Midtjylland1.49 0.19
Draw4.06 0.06
HNK Rijeka6.14 1.58
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

FC Midtjylland win+2pp
AI
64%
Market
62%
Draw-1.9pp
AI
21%
Market
22.9%
HNK Rijeka win-0.1pp
AI
15%
Market
15.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

B. Berke

3.93Yellow cards / game
0.36Red cards / game
0.36Penalties scored / game

Based on 14 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Midtjylland

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
44.4%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
22.2%

HNK Rijeka

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?+

Our AI model favors FC Midtjylland to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 21%, HNK Rijeka 15%).

What time does FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).