HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland
Match events
- 4'D. Adu Adjei (A. Orec)
- 13'J. Lasickas
- 18'S. Iheanacho (Kjell-Arik Wätjen)
- 31'Martin Erlić (Adam Gabriel)
- 46'Kjell-Arik Wätjen (S. Johannesen)
- 46'N. Jankovic (Y. Kabadayi)
- 48'M. Sørensen
- 51'Darío Osorio (Denil Castillo)
- 56'M. Jensen (R. Kristensen)
- 57'Darío Osorio (Franculino Djú)
- 58'S. Iheanacho (Cho Gue-Sung)
- 63'S. Vignato (I. Cubelic)
- 64'D. Adu Adjei (J. Puljic)
- 70'J. Puljic
- 74'A. Majstorovic
- 78'Cho Gue-Sung (S. Johannesen)
- 82'Philip Billing (Valdemar Byskov)
- 83'T. Fruk (G. Grulovic)
- 83'B. Pavic (Amer Gojak)
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that FC Midtjylland holds a stronger position going into this matchup, having defeated HNK Rijeka 2-0 in their last encounter. HNK Rijeka's scoring averages indicate they struggle to find the net, with only 1.2 goals per game in their recent form, while Midtjylland averages 1.5 goals scored. Overall, the numbers favor an away win.
- FC Midtjylland won the last match against HNK Rijeka 2-0
- HNK Rijeka has only averaged 1.2 goals scored in the last 10 matches
- FC Midtjylland averages 1.5 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- FC Midtjylland has a better recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Midtjylland
- Historical edgeFC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Good recent formFC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackFC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseHNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Midtjylland at 41% — final result was FC Midtjylland win, HNK Rijeka 1-4 FC Midtjylland.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- HNK Rijeka have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Midtjylland have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Vergoote
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland?+
Our AI model favors FC Midtjylland to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 29%, HNK Rijeka 30%).
What time does HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).