FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
WWWWGoals 20-7
WWLLGoals 23-17
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 13'N. Rojkjaer (Ibrahim Adel)
  2. 40'L. Frokaj
  3. 46'L. Frokaj (C. Witzig)
  4. 60'P. Amoako (A. Lind)
  5. 61'Ibrahim Adel (H. Rasmussen)
  6. 66'L. Daschner
  7. 66'Andrin Hunziker (D. Besio)
  8. 67'H. Vandermersch (E. Owusu)
  9. 71'Lamine Sadio (V. Berthelsen)
  10. 71'N. Rojkjaer (M. Brink)
  11. 76'L. Daschner (Betim Fazliji)
  12. 79'L. Gortler
  13. 81'A. Balde (Malamine Efekele)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
FC NordsjaellandFC ST. Gallen
2.0
Goals/game
2.3
0.7
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

FC Nordsjaelland win
62.55%
Draw
19.71%
FC ST. Gallen win
17.74%
65.5%BTTS
65.1%Over 2.5
22.3%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet
15.7%FC ST. Gallen clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that FC Nordsjaelland is in good form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches. Meanwhile, FC St. Gallen has displayed an impressive scoring capability, averaging 2.2 goals over their last ten matches. The numbers favor a home victory, as indicated by the bookmaker-implied probabilities and Nordsjaelland's solid home performance.

  • FC Nordsjaelland unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • FC St. Gallen averaged 2.2 goals scored in the last 10 matches
  • FC Nordsjaelland has a strong home record with recent wins against notable teams
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Nordsjaelland

  • Sharper attackFC ST. Gallen

    FC ST. Gallen are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game
  • Tighter defenseFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Nordsjaelland at 62.55% — final result was FC Nordsjaelland win, FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Nordsjaelland1.47market 68.2% · model 62.55%
Draw4.73market 21.1% · model 19.71%
FC ST. Gallen5.33market 18.8% · model 17.74%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC ST. Gallen have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1FC Nordsjaelland wins
0Draws
0FC ST. Gallen wins
3-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Nordsjaelland1.47best 1.55
Draw4.73best 5.17
FC ST. Gallen5.33best 6.57

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.34best 1.40
Under 2.53.10best 3.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.43best 1.47
No2.61best 2.80

Double chance

FC Nordsjaelland/Draw1.15best 1.22
FC Nordsjaelland/FC ST. Gallen1.16best 1.18
Draw/FC ST. Gallen2.50best 2.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Nordsjaelland1.47 0.61
Draw4.73 0.98
FC ST. Gallen5.33 2.28
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

FC Nordsjaelland win-0.6pp
AI
62.55%
Market
63.1%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
19.71%
Market
19.6%
FC ST. Gallen win+0.4pp
AI
17.74%
Market
17.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game2.3
0.7Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

O. Berka

4.62Yellow cards / game
0.23Red cards / game
0.38Penalties scored / game

Based on 13 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Nordsjaelland

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
8.3%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
8.3%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

FC ST. Gallen

0-15'
10%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
30%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?+

Our AI model favors FC Nordsjaelland to win, with a 62.55% probability (Draw 19.71%, FC ST. Gallen 17.74%).

What time does FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).