FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
DWWLGoals 20-13
WWWWGoals 18-5
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 14'J. Lahteenmaki (L. Sadio)
  2. 20'Lukas Görtler
  3. 22'Mihailo Stevanović
  4. 24'P. Amoako (N. Rojkjaer)
  5. 28'Aliou Balde (Chima Okoroji)
  6. 41'Mihailo Stevanović
  7. 41'Mihailo Stevanović
  8. 44'Andrin Hunziker (L. Frokaj)
  9. 45+4'Ibrahim Adel
  10. 46'Ibrahim Adel (A. Lind)
  11. 48'Lukas Görtler
  12. 65'J. Lahteenmaki
  13. 66'P. Amoako (H. Rasmussen)
  14. 66'N. Rojkjaer (M. Brink)
  15. 74'Hugo Vandermersch
  16. 74'P. Ankersen
  17. 77'Jozo Stanić
  18. 79'L. Sadio (V. Berthelsen)
  19. 82'L. Ati-Zigi
  20. 82'H. Rasmussen (A. Lind)
  21. 83'Hugo Vandermersch (E. Owusu)
  22. 83'Aliou Balde (D. Besio)
  23. 83'J. Ruiz (C. Kleine-Bekel)
  24. 86'Christian Witzig (N. Scherrer)
  25. 90+4'R. Norheim (M. Walker)

Lineups

FC ST. GallenFC Nordsjaelland
2.0
Goals/game
1.8
1.3
Conceded/game
0.5

AI match analysis

FC ST. Gallen win
43.71%
Draw
23.43%
FC Nordsjaelland win
32.86%
56.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
21.2%FC ST. Gallen clean sheet
28.7%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a competitive match as FC Nordsjaelland enters with a strong recent form, winning their last five matches while conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average. FC ST. Gallen, though capable of scoring, has struggled defensively, which makes their task challenging against a clinical Nordsjaelland side that has already secured a victory in their previous encounter.

  • FC Nordsjaelland won the last head-to-head matchup 1-0
  • FC Nordsjaelland has won 5 of their last 5 matches
  • FC ST. Gallen averages 2 goals scored but 1.3 goals conceded in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
62/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC ST. Gallen

  • Historical edgeFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.

    1/1 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Tighter defenseFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded
  • Sharper attackFC ST. Gallen

    FC ST. Gallen are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FC ST. Gallen at 43.71% — final result was FC Nordsjaelland win, FC ST. Gallen 2-3 FC Nordsjaelland.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (62/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC ST. Gallen2.12market 47.2% · model 43.71%
FC Nordsjaelland2.86market 35% · model 32.86%
Draw3.90market 25.7% · model 23.43%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC ST. Gallen have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC ST. Gallen wins
0Draws
1FC Nordsjaelland wins
0-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC ST. Gallen2.12best 2.21
Draw3.90best 4.10
FC Nordsjaelland2.86best 3.05

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.37best 1.42
Under 2.52.88best 3.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.36best 1.40
No2.91best 3.10

Double chance

FC ST. Gallen/Draw1.38best 1.44
FC ST. Gallen/FC Nordsjaelland1.22best 1.25
Draw/FC Nordsjaelland1.65best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12best 1.12
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.20best 1.20

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC ST. Gallen2.12 0.56
Draw3.90 0.45
FC Nordsjaelland2.86 0.46
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

FC ST. Gallen win0pp
AI
43.71%
Market
43.7%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
23.43%
Market
23.8%
FC Nordsjaelland win+0.4pp
AI
32.86%
Market
32.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game0.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

O. Grinfeld

4Yellow cards / game
0.71Red cards / game
0.29Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC ST. Gallen

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

FC Nordsjaelland

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
30%
76-90+'
20%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?+

Our AI model favors FC ST. Gallen to win, with a 43.71% probability (Draw 23.43%, FC Nordsjaelland 32.86%).

What time does FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).