FC Porto B vs Farense

Segunda Liga· Regular Season - 2
FC Porto B
13Full-time
Farense
WWLWGoals 10-1112th in league
WDWDGoals 12-52nd in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-3)
Away1W 0D 0L(3-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'Claudio Falcao (M. Menino)
  2. 34'T. Andrade
  3. 49'Mattheus
  4. 53'Mattheus (Mattheus)
  5. 53'E. Ferreira (T. Melnichenko)
  6. 56'Dominik Prpić
  7. 61'D. Cunha (D. Muxito)
  8. 61'T. Andrade (J. Teixeira)
  9. 61'T. Silva (G. Sousa)
  10. 66'J. Resende (J. Nduquidi)
  11. 66'Mattheus (Derick Poloni)
  12. 72'M. Mide (M. Niang)
  13. 75'Cuba (J. Gastao)
  14. 80'B. Lima
  15. 82'D. Rodrigues
  16. 89'M. Menino (S. Singh)
  17. 89'A. Candeias (Gabriel Barbosa)
  18. 90+4'J. Nduquidi

Lineups

FC Porto BFarense
1.0
Goals/game
1.2
1.1
Conceded/game
0.5

AI match analysis

FC Porto B win
27%
Draw
29%
Farense win
44%
36.1%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
31.7%FC Porto B clean sheet
47.2%Farense clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Farense has a strong recent performance, having won their last match and having a favorable head-to-head record against FC Porto B. Additionally, FC Porto B's current standing in the league, coupled with their recent loss, indicates they are struggling to find form. The numbers favor Farense to secure the victory.

  • Farense unbeaten in last 5 matches against FC Porto B
  • FC Porto B has lost their last match and is in the relegation zone
  • Farense has a better recent scoring average (1.1) compared to FC Porto B (0.9)
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Farense

  • Higher league positionFarense

    Farense sit 10 places above FC Porto B in the table.

    #2 vs #12
  • Tighter defenseFarense

    Farense are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded
  • Good recent formFC Porto B

    FC Porto B have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackFarense

    Farense are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Farense at 44% — final result was Farense win, FC Porto B 1-3 Farense.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Farense2.18market 46% · model 44%
Draw3.11market 32.2% · model 29%
FC Porto B3.21market 31.1% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • FC Porto B have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Farense have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3FC Porto B wins
2Draws
3Farense wins
11-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Porto B3.21best 3.52
Draw3.11best 3.25
Farense2.18best 2.28

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.18best 2.23
Under 2.51.63best 1.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.88best 1.95
No1.81best 1.85

Double chance

FC Porto B/Draw1.61best 1.67
FC Porto B/Farense1.31best 1.35
Draw/Farense1.30best 1.35

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Porto B3.21 0.06
Draw3.11 0.04
Farense2.18 0.03
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

FC Porto B win-1.5pp
AI
27%
Market
28.5%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
29%
Market
29.4%
Farense win+1.9pp
AI
44%
Market
42.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
FC Porto B
3102-33WLL
2
Farense
3210+37DWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.2
1.1Goals conceded per game0.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

P. Ramalho

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

FC Porto B

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Farense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

More Segunda Liga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win FC Porto B vs Farense?+

Our AI model favors Farense to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 29%, FC Porto B 27%).

What time does FC Porto B vs Farense kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).