FC Thun vs Lech Poznan
Match events
- 17'Robert Gumny (L. Palma)
- 22'S. Lengen (F. Dursun)
- 26'D. Hakans (P. Walemark)
- 32'N. Maier
- 40'G. Berggren
- 43'F. Dursun (N. Maier)
- 46'T. Strannegard (F. Fehr)
- 46'F. Saiz (J. Roth)
- 46'A. Kozubal (R. Murawski)
- 54'P. Walemark
- 56'N. Maier (A. Ilic)
- 61'F. Dursun (R. Braschi)
- 67'Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (P. Rodriguez)
- 68'P. Walemark (M. Lis)
- 73'S. Lengen (N. Reichmuth)
- 75'L. Passavant
- 80'W. Monka (T. Yegbe)
- 80'Y. Agnero (F. Jagiello)
- 90+1'R. Murawski
- 90+1'M. Skrzypczak
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 2.4
- 3.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a challenging matchup for FC Thun as they face a Lech Poznan side that notably defeated them 7-0 in their previous encounter. While Thun struggles with defensive consistency, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in recent matches, Lech Poznan has displayed a strong attacking performance, averaging 2.4 goals scored in their last 10 games.
- Lech Poznan won the last head-to-head match 7-0 against FC Thun
- FC Thun's last 5 matches average 1.8 scored and 3 conceded
- Lech Poznan has averaged 2.4 goals scored in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Lech Poznan
- Tighter defenseLech Poznan
Lech Poznan are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Historical edgeLech Poznan
Lech Poznan have won 1 of the last 1 meetings between these two teams.
1/1 H2H wins - Poor recent formFC Thun
FC Thun have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formLech Poznan
Lech Poznan have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Lech Poznan at 40% — final result was a draw, FC Thun 2-2 Lech Poznan.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Thun have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lech Poznan have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FC Thun
Lech Poznan
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?+
Our AI model favors Lech Poznan to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 23%, FC Thun 37%).
What time does FC Thun vs Lech Poznan kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).