FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo
Match events
- 34'S. Homma
- 66'K. Tanaka (M. Himeno)
- 66'M. Hidaka (Takahiro Iida)
- 67'Marcelo Ryan (Teruhito Nakagawa)
- 67'S. Homma (S. Anzai)
- 72'Takahiro Ko
- 79'T. Taguchi (Eduardo)
- 79'T. Tsukui (N. Tsubaki)
- 79'Hirokazu Ishihara (K. Bangnagande)
- 79'H. Inamura (Masato Morishige)
- 85'S. Anzai (Teruhito Nakagawa)
- 86'Matheus Índio (K. Yamura)
- 88'Takahiro Ko (K. Tokiwa)
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The numbers favor FC Tokyo as they have shown a slightly better scoring ability compared to JEF United Chiba, who is struggling significantly with both form and goals against. With FC Tokyo's recent form suggesting improved goal-scoring potential, they might edge this matchup despite their low standing in the league.
- FC Tokyo has scored an average of 1.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- JEF United Chiba is currently on a three-match losing streak with an average of 1 goal scored and 2.4 conceded per game
- Historically, FC Tokyo has won 1 out of the last 2 matches against JEF United Chiba
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Tokyo
- Tighter defenseFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game conceded - Higher league positionFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo sit 9 places above JEF United Chiba in the table.
#11 vs #20 - Poor recent formJEF United Chiba
JEF United Chiba have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackFC Tokyo
FC Tokyo are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Tokyo at 61.91% — final result was FC Tokyo win, FC Tokyo 2-0 JEF United Chiba.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Tokyo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- JEF United Chiba have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | WDL |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
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Who is likely to win FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?+
Our AI model favors FC Tokyo to win, with a 61.91% probability (Draw 22.51%, JEF United Chiba 15.58%).
Where is FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba played?+
The match is played at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo.
What time does FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 10:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).