FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti — Liga I

Liga I· Regular Season - 5

FC Voluntari

1–2Full-time

Petrolul Ploiesti

WLLWLWGoals 14-2112th in league

WWLWWLGoals 13-166th in league

Home1W 1D 1L(4-4)

Away1W 0D 2L(2-6)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

9'Alejandro Bran
14'M. Roman
19'M. Roman (I. Gheorghe)
24'Paul Papp
50'M. Onisa
56'M. Schieb (M. Mamic)
66'M. Roman (Adrian Chică-Roșă)
66'R. Gutea (F. Haită)
67'Robert Jerdea (Lucho Vega)
69'Adrian Chică-Roșă
71'B. Malula (Léo Teixeira)
79'I. Gheorghe (D. Toma)
79'M. Onisa (G. Merloi)
81'Sergiu Hanca (Jalal Huseynov)
81'Léo Teixeira (Adam Zaian)
83'Rodrigo Martins
87'F. Haită
90+1'Dan N'Lundulu (Rareș Leescu)
90+5'D. Toma
90+5'B. Malula
90'Rodrigo Martins (Tiberiu Căpuşă)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

FC VoluntariPetrolul Ploiesti

1.4
Goals/game: 1.3; 2.1
Conceded/game: 1.6

AI match analysis

FC Voluntari win

41%

Draw

29%

Petrolul Ploiesti win

30%

63.5%BTTS

62%Over 2.5

18.3%FC Voluntari clean sheet

22.3%Petrolul Ploiesti clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The numbers suggest a closely contested match between FC Voluntari and Petrolul Ploiesti. FC Voluntari has yet to lose at home this season, while Petrolul Ploiesti has struggled away, indicating a slight advantage for the hosts. Historically, their encounters tend to be low-scoring, which points towards a tight finish.

FC Voluntari unbeaten at home this season with 1 win and 1 draw
Petrolul Ploiesti has lost both away matches this season
Historically, recent matches between these teams have been low-scoring
FC Voluntari has a poor recent form with only 2 wins in the last 5 matches

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Voluntari

Weak home recordFC Voluntari
FC Voluntari have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Weak away recordPetrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins
Historical edgeFC Voluntari
FC Voluntari have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins
Higher league positionPetrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 6 places above FC Voluntari in the table.
#6 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FC Voluntari at 41% — final result was Petrolul Ploiesti win, FC Voluntari 1-2 Petrolul Ploiesti.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Voluntari2.22market 45.1% · model 41%

Draw3.08market 32.5% · model 29%

Petrolul Ploiesti ✓3.25market 30.8% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

FC Voluntari have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Petrolul Ploiesti have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3FC Voluntari wins

2Draws

1Petrolul Ploiesti wins

9-3Goals

Petrolul Ploiesti

0–4Apr 6, 2024, 2:30 PM

FC Voluntari

0–0Dec 1, 2023, 3:00 PM

Petrolul Ploiesti

0–2Jul 31, 2023, 3:30 PM

FC Voluntari

2–2Apr 24, 2023, 5:30 PM

Petrolul Ploiesti

FC Voluntari

0–1Oct 29, 2022, 4:00 PM

Petrolul Ploiesti

0–1Jul 18, 2022, 6:30 PM

FC Voluntari

Odds comparison

Match winner

FC Voluntari2.22▲best 2.27

Draw3.08▼best 3.25

Petrolul Ploiesti3.25▼best 3.45

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.16▲best 2.21

Under 2.51.65▼best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.85▲best 1.92

No1.86▼best 1.91

Double chance

FC Voluntari/Draw1.30best 1.34

FC Voluntari/Petrolul Ploiesti1.33▲best 1.37

Draw/Petrolul Ploiesti1.62▼best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

FC Voluntari2.22▲ 0.08

Draw3.08▼ 0.09

Petrolul Ploiesti3.25▼ 0.02

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

FC Voluntari win-0.6pp

41%

Market

41.6%

Draw-1pp

29%

Market

30%

Petrolul Ploiesti win+1.6pp

30%

Market

28.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.