Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS — Segunda Liga

Segunda Liga· Regular Season - 2

Felgueiras 1932

1–1Full-time

AVS

LWDWDDGoals 11-811th in league

LDWDLDGoals 11-2115th in league

Home0W 1D 0L(1-1)

Away0W 2D 0L(3-3)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

40'F. Franca
46'H. Martins (Landinho)
46'M. Rivas
54'A. Keita
62'A. Keita
66'A. Freitas (A. Lopes)
67'F. Franca (Joaozinho)
70'Lucas Duarte (T. Leite)
71'Landinho
77'A. Keita (J. Meireles)
77'G. Neiva (André Sousa)
79'L. Rivas
82'F. Cruz (Ventura)
88'Ventura
89'Talles Wander (P. Pimentel)
89'F. Almeida (B. Conde)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Felgueiras 1932AVS

1.1
Goals/game: 1.1; 0.8
Conceded/game: 2.1

AI match analysis

Felgueiras 1932 win

44%

Draw

31%

AVS win

25%

48.9%BTTS

46.9%Over 2.5

38.7%Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet

20.2%AVS clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup between Felgueiras 1932 and AVS. Felgueiras' recent form shows resilience with several draws and wins, while AVS struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. The predicted score reflects a closely contested game, likely resulting in a draw.

Felgueiras 1932 has a recent form of 2 draws and 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
AVS averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded over their last 10 games.
Felgueiras plays their first home match of the season with potential advantage from familiarity.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Felgueiras 1932

Tighter defenseFelgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932 are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Higher league positionFelgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932 sit 4 places above AVS in the table.
#11 vs #15
Sharper attackFelgueiras 1932
Felgueiras 1932 are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Felgueiras 1932 at 44% — final result was a draw, Felgueiras 1932 1-1 AVS.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Felgueiras 19322.11market 47.5% · model 44%

Draw ✓3.00market 33.4% · model 31%

AVS3.52market 28.4% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Felgueiras 1932 have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
AVS have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Felgueiras 19322.11▼best 2.22

Draw3.00▼best 3.10

AVS3.52▲best 3.98

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.28▲best 2.40

Under 2.51.59▼best 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes1.95▲best 2.11

No1.75▼best 1.83

Double chance

Felgueiras 1932/Draw1.26▼best 1.32

Felgueiras 1932/AVS1.33▲best 1.36

Draw/AVS1.64▲best 1.72

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▲best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62▼best 2.62

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40▲best 3.40

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30▼best 1.30

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Felgueiras 19322.11▼ 0.33

Draw3.00▼ 0.02

AVS3.52▲ 0.77

14 Aug – 17 Aug

Model vs market

Felgueiras 1932 win+0.5pp

44%

Market

43.5%

Draw+0.4pp

31%

Market

30.6%

AVS win-1pp

25%

Market

26%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.