Flamengo vs Vitoria

Serie A· Regular Season - 22
Flamengo
20Full-time
Vitoria
DWWLGoals 19-112nd in league
WWLLGoals 8-812th in league
Home6W 3D 1L(19-8)
Away0W 4D 8L(7-26)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'Erick Pulgar
  2. 44'Ze Vitor
  3. 46'Matheuzinho (Marinho)
  4. 48'Erick (Diego Tarzia)
  5. 65'Giorgian De Arrascaeta (Lucas Paquetá)
  6. 69'Walace (Tomás Pochettino)
  7. 74'Jorginho (Evertton Araujo)
  8. 74'Pedro (Gonzalo Plata)
  9. 75'Samuel Lino (Bruno Henrique)
  10. 79'Gonzalo Plata
  11. 80'Bruno Henrique
  12. 80'Rene (Fabrício Santos)
  13. 86'J. Carrascal (Lorran)
  14. 90+3'Ze Vitor (Edenilson)

Lineups

FlamengoVitoria
1.9
Goals/game
0.8
1.1
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Flamengo win
76%
Draw
16%
Vitoria win
8%
45.4%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
38.7%Flamengo clean sheet
25.9%Vitoria clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

The data suggests a strong advantage for Flamengo, who are currently positioned second in the league and hold an impressive head-to-head record against Vitoria, winning both of their recent encounters. Flamengo's scoring average of 2.2 goals per game significantly outpaces Vitoria's measly 0.9, which highlights their offensive superiority. With Flamengo only recently dropping points and Vitoria struggling for form, the numbers favor a home victory.

  • Flamengo ranked 2nd in Serie A
  • Vitoria ranked 13th in Serie A
  • Flamengo averages 2.2 goals scored per game
  • Vitoria averages only 0.9 goals scored per game
  • Flamengo unbeaten against Vitoria in last 2 matches

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Flamengo at 76% — final result was Flamengo win, Flamengo 2-0 Vitoria.

Predicted score was 2-0.

Closing odds vs. our model

Flamengo1.27market 79% · model 76%
Draw5.75market 17.4% · model 16%
Vitoria10.69market 9.4% · model 8%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Flamengo have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vitoria have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Flamengo wins
1Draws
1Vitoria wins
18-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Flamengo1.27best 1.35
Draw5.75best 6.20
Vitoria10.69best 13.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63best 1.73
Under 2.52.23best 2.35

Both teams to score

Yes2.13best 2.30
No1.64best 1.68

Double chance

Flamengo/Draw1.05best 1.08
Flamengo/Vitoria1.12best 1.14
Draw/Vitoria3.68best 4.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.71best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — No2.02best 2.05
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.75best 10.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.06

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Flamengo1.27 0.02
Draw5.75 0.25
Vitoria10.69 0.06
9 Aug9 Aug

Model vs market

Flamengo win+1.3pp
AI
76%
Market
74.7%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
16%
Market
16.5%
Vitoria win-0.8pp
AI
8%
Market
8.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Flamengo
231364+2445WWDD
12
Vitoria
248511-1229WLLL

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game0.8
1.1Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Flamengo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
44.4%
76-90+'
0%

Vitoria

0-15'
0%
16-30'
66.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie A predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Flamengo vs Vitoria?+

Our AI model favors Flamengo to win, with a 76% probability (Draw 16%, Vitoria 8%).

What time does Flamengo vs Vitoria kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 9, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).