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Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare

Meistriliiga· Regular Season - 23
Flora Tallinn
2–3Full-time
Kuressaare
WLWLGoals 22-133rd in league
WWWLGoals 14-109th in league
Home6W 0D 5L(24-12)
Away3W 1D 9L(13-23)
A. Le Coq Arena

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · Capacity 14,405 · grass · Referee: E. Reinumagi

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'Ilja Antonov
  2. 27'A. Visse (T. Jurisoo)
  3. 30'D. Andreas (T. Jurisoo)
  4. 30'R. Piil
  5. 33'S. Alamaa (T. Usta)
  6. 34'T. Jurisoo (D. Andreas)
  7. 48'S. Alamaa
  8. 51'S. Sinilaid
  9. 54'D. Kuraksin (S. Tovstik)
  10. 56'S. Tovstik
  11. 62'A. Visse (A. Kivi)
  12. 65'A. Kivi
  13. 71'J. Vahermagi (S. Prunn)
  14. 74'R. Valdmets (M. Kukkonen)
  15. 76'M. Kolobov
  16. 82'O. Pihela
  17. 83'T. Teeväli (R. Alliku)
  18. 88'S. Zenjov
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Flora TallinnKuressaare
2.2
Goals/game
1.4
1.3
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Flora Tallinn win
68%
Draw
18%
Kuressaare win
14%
59.1%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
25.9%Flora Tallinn clean sheet
20.2%Kuressaare clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests Flora Tallinn holds a strong advantage against Kuressaare, having won their last five encounters without conceding. Flora's recent home form stands at six wins with no draws and four losses, indicating their capability to perform effectively at Tamme Stadium. Meanwhile, Kuressaare has struggled on the road, with only two wins in eleven matches this season, contributing to an overall negative goal difference. The numbers favor a home victory, with a predicted score of 2-0 for Flora Tallinn.

  • Flora Tallinn unbeaten in their last 5 home matches against Kuressaare
  • Kuressaare has lost 8 of their 11 away games this season
  • Flora Tallinn averages 2.3 goals scored per match in their last 10
  • Kuressaare has a negative goal difference of -14 this season
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Flora Tallinn

  • Historical edgeFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.

    6/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordKuressaare

    Kuressaare have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.

    3/13 away wins
  • Sharper attackFlora Tallinn

    Flora Tallinn are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Flora Tallinn at 68% — final result was Kuressaare win, Flora Tallinn 2-3 Kuressaare.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Flora Tallinn1.31market 76.2% · model 68%
Draw4.82market 20.7% · model 18%
Kuressaare ✓6.99market 14.3% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Flora Tallinn have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Kuressaare have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

7Flora Tallinn wins
1Draws
0Kuressaare wins
22-7Goals
Flora Tallinn
2–0Nov 1, 2025, 12:30 PM
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
1–2Aug 24, 2025, 11:30 AM
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
1–3May 27, 2025, 3:00 PM
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
5–0Mar 29, 2025, 3:00 PM
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
3–0Oct 26, 2024, 9:30 AM
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
3–4Sep 14, 2024, 11:30 AM
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1–0May 21, 2024, 4:00 PM
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
2–2Apr 27, 2024, 2:00 PM
Flora Tallinn

Odds comparison

Match winner

Flora Tallinn1.31best 1.36
Draw4.82▲best 5.25
Kuressaare6.99▲best 7.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.41▼best 1.45
Under 2.52.57▲best 2.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.67▲best 1.73
No2.01▼best 2.08

Double chance

Flora Tallinn/Draw1.06▲best 1.10
Flora Tallinn/Kuressaare1.11▼best 1.15
Draw/Kuressaare2.95▲best 3.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57▼best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25▲best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.00best 8.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.06

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Flora Tallinn1.31
Draw4.82▲ 0.10
Kuressaare6.99▼ 0.01
15 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Flora Tallinn win-0.5pp
AI
68%
Market
68.5%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
18%
Market
18.6%
Kuressaare win+1.1pp
AI
14%
Market
12.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Flora Tallinn
231409+1742WLWL
9
Kuressaare
247314-1424WWLD

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Flora Tallinn

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Kuressaare

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
11.1%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare?+

Our AI model favors Flora Tallinn to win, with a 68% probability (Draw 18%, Kuressaare 14%).

Where is Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare played?+

The match is played at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn (capacity 14,405).

What time does Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).